BMIE Market 01057

Hampden County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,534 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,470 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,508 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,717 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$874 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$345,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,209 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01057
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.7	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.4	75	35%	+26.4
Market Momentum Score	80.0	80	25%	+20.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,176	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	98,508	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	3,265	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.0	68	25%	+17.1
Population (ACS)	8,176	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	98,508	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baker's Lane Biscotti	Bakery	Bakery	5 High St	open
Beth's Family Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	107 Main St	open
Cookies by Ray	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	89 Main St	open
CZP’s	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	223 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	153 Main St	open
Echo Hill Orchards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		101 Wilbraham Rd	open
Fireside Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	Sunsetview Farm Camping Area, 57 Town Farm Rd	open
J.B.'s Mobile Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	15 Ely Rd	open
Kaizen Sushi Restaurant , Sturbridge, Ma.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian		open
Main Street Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	218 Main St	open
Maria's Pizzeria & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · Pizza	52 Main St	open
Monson Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	136 Main St	open
Mug 'n' Muffin	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	25 Palmer Rd	open
New china	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	Main St	open
Polish American Citizens Club	Bar		7 Bliss St	open
Queen Bee Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		173 Moulton Hill Rd	open
Rock Bottom	Bar			open
Tee-Jay's Inc	Bar	BBQ	143 Palmer Rd	open
The Better Bean	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	186 Main St	open
The Gingerbread House Snack Shop	Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	57 Town Farm Rd	open
The Magic Spoon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Reynolds Ave	open
TJ's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		143 Palmer Rd	open
Torta Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	121 Main St	open
Tortas el cadejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	121 Main St	open
Treehouse Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		160 E Hill Rd	open
Twilight Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16 Pease Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	2	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	3	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	2	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	3	1	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	8	5	3	—	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	3	1	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	5	—	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	4	—	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	4	—	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	3	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	3	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	2	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01057. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01081	5.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.