BMIE Market 01069

Hampden County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,469 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,779 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,190 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,408 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,013 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$274,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,844 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01069
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01069. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.7	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	58.9	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,821	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	80,190	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	3,963	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.7	31	25%	+7.8
Population (ACS)	8,821	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,190	62	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	11.1	40	20%	+8.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · Greek 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 13 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acropolis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Greek	1240 Park St	open
Alvin Rondeau's Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Seafood · Dessert	1300 Ware St	open
American Legion American Legion	Bar		1010 Thorndike St	open
Angel's 1376 Palmer Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1376 Main St	open
Apollo 1 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	1581 N Main St	open
China House Restaurant \| Szechuan & Cantonese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1240 Park St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		1186 Thorndike St	open
Crossroads	Bar		1701 Park St	open
Day and Night Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1456 N Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1219 Thorndike St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1559 N Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1144 Thorndike St	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1465 N Main St	open
East Hill Property Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Wilbraham St	open
Figlio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1366 Main St	open
Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1519 N Main St	open
Gin Mill	Bar · Casual dining		3095 Main St	open
Girlie's Cakes Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1605 N Main St	open
Girly's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1315 Park St	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1401 N Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1186 Thorndike St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1184 Thorndike St	open
Municipal Public Access Cable Television Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1659 N Main St	open
Paramount Pizza 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1620 N Main St	open
Rick's Parkside Drive-In Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1189 Park St	open
Roadside kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1037 Thorndike St	open
Rondeau Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	358 Shearer St	open
Russos Lakeside Seafood & SteakHouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	702 River St	open
Seven Railroads Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1235 Park St	open
St Mary's Lyceum	Bar		3036 High St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	1188 Thorndike St	open
Steaming Tender Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28 Depot St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1049 Thorndike Street	open
Tables at the Farm	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	3092 Palmer St #181	open
Tailgate Tavern	Bar		1012 Central St	open
Tang's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1581 N Main St	open
The Mead Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4041 Pleasant St	open
The Shack	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		4212 Church St	open
Turtle Pond Tavern	Bar		349 Wilbraham St	open
Walnut St. Café, Inc.	Café · Bar	Coffee	8 Walnut St	open
Walt's Love Shack.	Bar		4029 Church St	open
Wen Ming House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese	1427 N Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1213 Thorndike St	open
Yiannis Distributing Company / Opa Opa Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1 Chamber Rd	open
Yummy Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	1033 Thorndike St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	29	24	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	30	24	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	27	20	10	7	2	6	NAICS1997
1999	31	23	11	8	3	6	NAICS1997
2000	30	22	10	8	3	6	NAICS1997
2001	32	24	10	10	3	6	NAICS1997
2002	30	21	7	10	4	6	NAICS1997
2003	27	18	9	5	4	5	NAICS2002
2004	26	20	10	6	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	28	21	9	9	3	5	NAICS2002
2006	31	23	10	10	3	6	NAICS2002
2007	29	21	12	5	4	6	NAICS2002
2008	26	20	9	7	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	27	19	10	5	4	5	NAICS2007
2010	25	18	9	5	4	5	NAICS2007
2011	28	21	12	5	4	5	NAICS2007
2012	26	19	10	7	2	5	NAICS2012
2013	26	20	10	8	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	28	20	10	8	2	6	NAICS2012
2015	27	19	10	7	2	6	NAICS2012
2016	26	20	10	8	2	5	NAICS2012
2017	21	16	9	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	22	16	10	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	24	19	11	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	24	18	10	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	24	19	11	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	10	7	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	24	20	11	8	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01069. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01079	1.3 mi	1	1997
01009	2.4 mi	1	2016
01080	2.8 mi	3	2023
01092	3.7 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.