BMIE Market 01742

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,448 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,726 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,964 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$195,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,631 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,218,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,024 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01742
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 26–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01742. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.2	87	40%	+34.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.5	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	38.7	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,448	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	195,125	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	6,665	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.2	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	18,448	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	195,125	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-3.2	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	36.4	56	20%	+11.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · American 13 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Italian 8 · Pizza 6 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 10 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
80 Thoreau	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80 Thoreau St	open
99 Restaurants	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 Commonwealth Ave	open
Adelita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1200 Main St	open
Asian Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	794 Elm St	open
Bedford Farms Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	68 Thoreau St	open
Bondir Concord	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24 Walden St	open
Caffè Nero Caffè Nero	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	55 Main St	open
Chang An	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10 Concord Xing	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		766 Elm St	open
Club Car Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	20 Commonwealth Ave	open
Comella's Restaurant Comella's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	33 Main St	open
Concord New London Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	71 Thoreau St	open
Concord Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Commonwealth Ave	open
Concord Teacakes	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	59 Commonwealth Ave	open
Country Kitchen	Other	Sandwiches	181 Sudbury Rd	open
Culture Pop Soda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Dino's Kouzina & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	1135 Main St	open
Dinos Gmaa Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1135 Main St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1641 Sudbury Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	117 Thoreau Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	794 Elm St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1191 Main St	open
Eva’s Little Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	110 Commonwealth Ave	open
Fiorella's Cucina Fiorella's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	24 Walden St	open
GrÃ¤em Nuts and Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	49 Main St	open
Harvest & Hearth	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	West Concord	open
Haute Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	12 Walden St	open
Helen's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	17 Main St	open
Karma Concord	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	105 Thoreau St	open
La Provence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	105 Thoreau St	open
Labean Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	40 Beharrell St	open
Main Streets Market & Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	42 Main St	open
Mars bars	Bar		69 Elm St	open
Nashoba Brook Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	152 Commonwealth Ave #3	open
Nine Acre Farm Convenience	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1637 Sudbury Rd	open
North Bridge Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		30 Kenney Ln	open
Papa Razzi Trattoria Of Concord Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		768 Elm St	open
Priscilla Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	19 Walden St	open
Rapscallion Kitchen & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	208 Fitchburg Tpke	open
Reasons To Be Cheerful	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	110 Commonwealth Ave	open
Rossini's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	206 Fitchburg Tpke	open
Sally Ann's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	73 Main St	open
Serafina Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	195 Sudbury Rd	open
Sorrento's Pizzeria Sorrento Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	58 Thoreau St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	159 Sudbury Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	768 Elm St	open
Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	794 Elm St Fl 2	open
Sweet E's of Concord	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	108 Prescott Rd	open
Tai-sen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Concord Xing Ste 1	open
Tea Forte	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	23 Bradford St	open
The Fife & Drum Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		965 Elm St	open
Trail's End Cafe	Café	Coffee	97 Lowell Rd	open
Twin Seafood Concord	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2 Church St	open
Village Forge Tavern	Bar		48 Monument Sq	open
Vincenzo’s Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1200 Main St	open
Walden Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24 Walden St	open
Walden Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	92 Commonwealth Ave	open
Welch Foods Inc, A Cooperative	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Main St	open
West Village Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	13 Commonwealth Ave	open
Woods Hill Table - Concord	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24 Commonwealth Ave	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1089 Concord Tpke	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	27	27	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	34	34	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	39	26	14	9	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	36	24	13	8	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	36	25	13	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	38	27	13	9	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	30	22	11	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	31	22	10	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	30	21	11	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	30	21	11	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	27	19	9	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	21	11	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	31	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	32	23	11	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	37	28	12	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	38	30	13	12	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	40	31	13	12	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	40	31	14	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	38	30	12	11	7	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	28	12	10	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	40	33	17	8	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	30	15	6	9	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	27	14	4	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	36	29	15	5	9	—	NAICS2017
2021	37	29	14	6	9	—	NAICS2017
2022	44	37	14	13	10	—	NAICS2022
2023	38	30	13	10	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01742. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01773	3.8 mi	3	2019
01720	4.0 mi	39	2023
01731	4.1 mi	1	2012
01730	4.9 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.