BMIE Market 02356

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,475 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,715 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±331 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,564 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,406 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$127,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,787 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$650,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02356
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-5.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 16–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02356. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.2	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.0	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	44.9	45	25%	+11.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,475	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	127,224	92	40%	+37.0
Households (ACS)	4,715	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	41.7	78	35%	+27.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	12,475	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	127,224	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.6	22	50%	+11.1
10-year restaurant growth	41.7	78	30%	+23.4
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · American 5 · Bakery 4 · European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	507 Foundry St	open
Baskin-Robbins Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	700 Depot St	open
Bill's House of Munch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · Coffee	31 Spooner St	open
Bill's House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	97 N Main St	open
Buddy's Union Villa	Bar	American	190 Washington St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	479 Foundry St	open
Cape Cod Cafe Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	690 Depot St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		696 Depot St	open
Corfinio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	285 Washington St	open
discoYo	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	285 Washington St Suite 4	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	285 Washington St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3 Roche Bros Way	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	320 Washington St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		320 Washington St	open
Easton Lucky Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	670 Depot St	open
Easton VFW Post 2547	Bar		61 Rockland St	open
For the Love of Bread and Pasta	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Italian	155 Randall St	open
Fresh Catch Sushi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	285 Washington St	open
Hilliards Chocolates Hilliards Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	316 Main St	open
J's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3 Roche Brothers Way	open
Kiosko Isabel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Spanish / tapas	50 Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	285 Washington St	open
Maguire's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		503 Foundry St	open
Mario's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	260 Washington St	open
Milan Ac Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		260 Washington St	open
Niko Mediterranean	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	140 Main St	open
Pizza Depot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	700 Depot St	open
Press It Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3 Roche Brothers Way # D	open
Roxannes Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3 Roche Brothers Way	open
Shovel Town Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		140 Main St	open
Shovel Town Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		50 Oliver St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	519 Foundry St	open
Sukha Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	110 Center St Rear	open
Sweet Treats and Pops Galore	Dessert	Dessert	134 Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		482 Foundry Street	open
Take Outs Pizza & Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	670 Depot St	open
The Beanery on Washington	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	181 Washington St	open
The Farmer's Daughter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	122 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	14	4	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	14	3	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	15	5	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	10	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	16	5	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	15	5	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	18	5	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	19	7	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	19	6	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	16	4	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	14	4	4	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	17	4	7	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02356. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02357	2.2 mi	1	2011
02072	4.1 mi	57	2023
02301	4.2 mi	129	2023
02375	4.4 mi	20	2023
02067	4.6 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.