BMIE Market 02657

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,942 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,904 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,081 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,261 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$902,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±179,748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	65 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02657
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	241.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	61 (range 55–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02657. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.0	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,703	56	40%	+22.3
Median household income (ACS)	136,904	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	2,067	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.4	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	175.5	2	25%	+0.5
Population (ACS)	3,703	56	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	136,904	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.8	61	50%	+30.6
10-year restaurant growth	-4.4	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	-7.1	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (129)

By cuisine

American 38 · Seafood 24 · Coffee 16 · Dessert 14 · Sandwiches 11 · Bakery 9 · Italian 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Japanese 4 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 3 · Mexican 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Sushi 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 75 · Bar 35 · Dessert 18 · Café 14 · Casual dining 12 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 7 · Specialty food shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1620 Brewhouse	Bar		214 Commercial St	open
328 Commercial Street Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		328 Commercial St	open
361 Coffee and Espresso Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	361 Commercial St	open
A House	Bar		6 Masonic Pl #4	open
Aqua Bar	Bar		207 Commercial St	open
Baedega	Restaurant (service type not stated)		338 Commercial St	open
Bayside Betsy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee	177 Commercial St	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	258 Commercial St	open
Big Daddy's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	205 Commercial St	open
Box Lunch Provincetown Box Lunch Truro	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	334 Commercial St	open
Bubala's By the Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	183 Commercial St	open
Buoy Bar	Bar		161 Commercial St	open
Cabana Bar Provincetown	Bar		543 Commercial St	open
Cabot's Candy	Dessert	Dessert	276 Commercial St	open
Cafe Blase	Restaurant (service type not stated)		328 Commercial St	open
Cafe Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	199 Commercial St	open
Cafe Maria	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	277 Commercial St	open
Chach	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	73 Shank Painter Rd	open
Chester Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		404 Commercial St	open
Ciro & Sal's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Italian · American	4 Kiley Ct	open
Connie's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee · American	43 Race Point Rd	open
Cookies U	Dessert	Dessert	207 Commercial St	open
Corner Store Provincetown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	338 Commercial St	open
Cosmos Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 Race Point Rd Ste G	open
Curio More Than Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	353A Commercial Street	open
Devon's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	401.5 Commercial Street	open
Devon's Food Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	31 Bradford St	open
East End Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	212 Bradford St	open
Fanizzi's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · American	539 Commercial St	open
Far Land Provisions	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	150 Bradford St	open
Farlands at Herring Cove Beach	Other	Sandwiches		open
Food court	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	205 Commercial St	open
Fortune Cookie Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	205 Commercial St	open
Freemans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	333 Commercial St	open
Front Street Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	319 Commercial St	open
George's Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	275 Commercial St	open
Go Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Seafood	371 Commercial St	open
Governor Bradford Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	312 Commercial St	open
Grab n' Go Health Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	212 Commercial St	open
Grand Central Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5 Masonic Pl	open
Grotta Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	186 Commercial St	open
Happy Camper Donuts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Dessert · American	225 Commercial St	open
Harbor Lounge	Bar		359 Commercial St	open
Helltown Kitchen restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	386 Commercial St	open
I Dream of Gelato	Dessert	Dessert	205 Commercial St #209	open
Irie Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	70 Shank Painter Rd	open
Izakaya Ptown	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Jabong Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		179 Commercial St Ste 1	open
JD's Raw Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · Japanese · Sushi	Commercial St	open
Jd's Woodfire Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	258 Commercial St	open
Jimmy's HideAway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	179 Commercial St	open
Joe Coffee and Cafe	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	170 Commercial St	open
John's Footlong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	309 Commercial St #5	open
Johnny Thai Monkey Bar Scruples Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		149 Commercial St	open
Joon Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		133 Commercial St	open
Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	148 Commercial St	open
Kebob-E-Licious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	339 Commercial St	open
Kohi Coffee Company KoHi Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	199 Commercial St	open
Kung Fu Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	293 Commercial St	open
Lewis Brothers Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	310 Commercial St	open
Liz's Cafe Anybody's Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		31 Bradford St	open
Lobster Pot Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5 Ryder St Ext	open
Lola Bean Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		214 Commercial St Ste 2	open
Mac's Fish House Mac's Seafood	Bar	Seafood · Sushi · Japanese	85 Shank Painter Rd	open
Mac's Seafood Wellfleet Mac's Market & Kitchen Eastham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	265 Commercial St	open
Mac's Shack 91 Commercial Mac's Market & Kitchen Eastham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	91 Commercial St	open
Maison Macarons	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	353 Commercial St	open
Mama Matcha Green Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	258 Commercial St	open
Mean Burgers Ptown	Quick service	Burgers · American	207 Commercial St	open
Mezzeterranean	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Mediterranean · European · Breakfast	401 Commercial St	open
Mistralino Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	133 Bradford St	open
Napi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7 Freeman St	open
Native Cape Cod Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	205 Commercial St	open
Nor'East Beer Garden	Bar		206 Commercial St	open
OCEAN 193	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	193 Commercial St	open
Old Colony Tap	Bar		323 Commercial St	open
One Love Cafe	Café	Caribbean · Coffee	205 Commercial St	open
Paint Nite	Bar		312 Commercial St	open
Patio Provincetown	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	328 Commercial St	open
Pepe's Wharf Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	371 Commercial St	open
Pilgrim Pool Bar	Bar	American	1 Commercial St	open
Pop+Dutch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	147 Commercial St	open
Post Office Cafe and Cabaret Post Office Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	303 Commercial St	open
Provincetown Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		141 Bradford St	open
Provincetown Fudge Factory	Dessert	Dessert	210 Commercial St	open
Provincetown House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Bradford St #2	open
Provincetown Portuguese Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Spanish / tapas · Dessert	299 Commercial St	open
Ptown Coffee Corp Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		170 Commercial St Ste 2	open
Ptown Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	385 Commercial St	open
Purgatory Gifford House	Bar		11 Carver St	open
Purple Feather	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	334 Commercial St	open
Relish Bakery and Sandwich Shop	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	93 Commercial St	open
Rosie's Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	331 Commercial St	open
Ross' Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	237 Commercial St	open
Sal's Place Sal's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	99 Commercial St	open
ScottCakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	353 Commercial St	open
Shane's Sweets Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		205 Commercial St Unit 2	open
Shipwreck Lounge	Bar		67 Bradford St	open
Spiritus Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	190 Commercial St	open
Street Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	205 Commercial St	open
Sundaze P-town	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	207 Commercial St Unit 5	open
Surf Club Provincetown	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		317 Commercial St	open
Sweet Escape	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	316 Route 6	open
Tea House of the August Moon	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	12 Aunt Sukey Way	open
Terrazza Kitchen & Bar Rooftop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		336 Commercial St	open
The Cafe At Spindler's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Seafood · Coffee	386 Commercial St	open
The Coffee Pot	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	315 Commercial St	open
The Grilled Cheese Gallery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	293 Commercial St	open
The Latin Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	205 Commercial St	open
The Lobster Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	321 Commercial St	open
The Mayflower	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Spanish / tapas · American	300 Commercial St	open
The Mews Restaurant and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	429 Commercial St	open
The Nut House	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	237 Commercial St	open
The Penney Patch	Dessert	Dessert	281 Commercial St	open
The Pointe Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	82 Bradford St	open
The Squealing Pig	Casual dining · Bar	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	335 Commercial St	open
The Underground	Bar		293 Commercial St	open
The Vault	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	247 Commercial St	open
Tin Pan Alley	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	269 Commercial St	open
Twisted Pizza, Subs and Ice Cream	Dessert	Pizza · Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	293 Commercial St	open
Twisted Treats Chimney Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	355 Commercial St	open
Victors Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Spanish / tapas · Seafood	175 Bradford St	open
Vorelli's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	226 Commercial St	open
Waydowntown Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	265 Commercial St	open
Wellfleet Harbor Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sushi · Japanese · American	91 Commercial St	open
Wellfleet Oysters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Wired Puppy	Coffee shop	Coffee	379 Commercial St	open
Strangers & Saints	Casual dining · Bar		404 Commercial St	closed
Tween The Tides	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	205 Commercial St Ste 7	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	49	46	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	45	42	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	49	46	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	77	72	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	76	70	40	21	9	6	NAICS1997
1999	77	69	39	20	10	7	NAICS1997
2000	79	69	41	19	9	8	NAICS1997
2001	81	71	40	22	9	9	NAICS1997
2002	81	71	41	21	9	8	NAICS1997
2003	81	70	40	18	12	9	NAICS2002
2004	84	73	41	19	13	9	NAICS2002
2005	81	72	42	17	13	6	NAICS2002
2006	80	71	40	20	11	6	NAICS2002
2007	82	74	45	20	9	6	NAICS2002
2008	78	69	40	21	8	5	NAICS2007
2009	76	68	40	21	7	5	NAICS2007
2010	79	71	40	23	8	6	NAICS2007
2011	81	71	41	20	10	7	NAICS2007
2012	80	72	43	20	9	7	NAICS2012
2013	77	68	43	18	7	7	NAICS2012
2014	81	72	48	17	7	7	NAICS2012
2015	78	69	44	17	8	7	NAICS2012
2016	77	68	41	17	10	7	NAICS2012
2017	76	67	42	14	11	8	NAICS2017
2018	71	62	42	12	8	8	NAICS2017
2019	79	69	45	13	11	7	NAICS2017
2020	69	60	39	11	10	7	NAICS2017
2021	77	67	45	13	9	8	NAICS2017
2022	79	68	47	10	11	8	NAICS2022
2023	75	65	45	9	11	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02657. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.