BMIE Market 02766

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,031 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,741 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$501,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02766
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02766. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.7	85	40%	+33.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.4	54	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	22.8	23	25%	+5.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,240	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	124,535	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	6,650	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	56	25%	+14.1
Population (ACS)	19,240	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	124,535	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	50%	+8.3
10-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	22.7	47	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

Pizza 12 · Italian 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Coffee 5 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 11 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AJ's Stone Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	288 E Main St, 288 E Main St	open
Alberto's Pub and Pizza	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	241 Mansfield Ave	open
Bagels & Cream	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	57 W Main St	open
Better Grains Bakery, LLC	Bakery	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	238 Reservoir St	open
Bliss Restaurant Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		222 Mansfield Ave	open
Bog Iron Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		33 W Main St	open
Chateau The Chateau Italian Family Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	48 Bay Rd	open
City Oasis	Bar		50 Pleasant St	open
Downtown Public House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		292 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	175 Mansfield Ave Great Woods Mkt Place	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	420 Old Colony Rd	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	246 E Main St	open
Emma's Pub & Pizza	Bar		130 Mansfield Ave	open
Emmas Norton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	130 Mansfield Ave	open
Fat Johnny’s Burgers & Bites	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Scott Dr	open
Fiesta Mexican Restaurant Fiesta Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	175 Mansfield Ave	open
Flaky Crust Pies	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	401 Old Colony Rd	open
Freedom Fire BBQ	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	336 Old Colony Rd	open
GOAT City Pub - Norton	Bar		184 W Main St	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	119 W Main St	open
Home Plate Norton Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		184 W Main St	open
Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	61 W Main St	open
Jeffrey's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Chicken / wings	63 E Main St	open
Kelly's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	292 E Main St	open
Leanbox Alnylam Phar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		15 Commerce Way	open
Mac & Walt's	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	363 Old Colony Rd	open
Main Street Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	63 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	175 Mansfield Ave	open
Mike's Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 Taunton Ave	open
Norton House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	57 W Main St	open
Oak St. Treats	Bakery	Bakery	Oak St.	open
Pizza Tyme	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	250 E Main St	open
Qi Ming Dynasty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	63 E Main St	open
Raging Masshole Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	194 S Worcester St	open
Ria's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	60 W Main St	open
Roma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Latin American (other) · Italian	360 Old Colony Rd	open
Sabatino's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	111 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	130 Mansfield Ave	open
Swamp Donkey's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	113 Mansfield Ave	open
Sweet Stuff Bake Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	4 Olympia St	open
Tavern 33	Bar		336 Old Colony Rd	open
Tavern On The Hill	Bar		336 Old Colony Rd	open
Team Norton Incorporated	Restaurant (service type not stated)		175 Mansfield Ave # 180	open
The Best Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	175 Mansfield Ave	open
The Lyon's Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	Wheaton College, 9 Howard St	open
The Mill Fudge Factory	Dessert	Dessert	50 W Main St	open
Tsang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	113 Mansfield Ave	open
Wendell's	Bar · Casual dining		30 W Main St	open
Yai's Kitchen - Authentic Thai Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	63 E Main St	open
川越居 Time Travel Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	175 Mansfield Ave	open
Sportsway Cafe	Café	Coffee	57 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	32	23	13	8	2	7	NAICS1997
1999	25	21	13	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	28	24	15	6	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	24	22	13	5	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	21	13	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	14	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	27	21	14	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	33	26	18	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	34	26	16	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	32	25	13	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	31	24	11	8	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	33	25	12	9	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	35	27	11	12	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	34	26	12	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	36	30	15	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	38	31	16	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	35	29	14	11	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	15	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	37	31	15	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	32	29	13	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	31	16	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	27	14	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	36	32	15	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	28	15	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	29	16	7	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	27	15	6	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02766. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02048	4.0 mi	47	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.