BMIE Market 02769

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,608 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,280 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$138,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$563,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	46.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02769
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 7–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02769. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.3	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.9	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	71.3	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,022	75	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	138,214	95	40%	+37.8
Households (ACS)	4,670	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	13,022	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	138,214	95	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 7 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1-10 Smoke Shop and Hookah Lounge	Bar		289 Winthrop St	open
Alive Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · American	569 Winthrop St	open
Ann Maries Candies	Dessert		187 Winthrop St	open
Apna Punjab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	3 Park St	open
Campfire Tavern & Table	Casual dining · Bar	American	7 Park St	open
Cirilhitz.com	Bakery	Bakery	97 Chestnut St	open
Confectionery Designs	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	462 Winthrop St	open
Dicky's Clam Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	14 Fall River Ave	open
Don Tequila's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	569 Winthrop St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3 Park St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	227 Winthrop St	open
Freedom Trail Transport	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	MA-118	open
Iowa Amrita Iowa Amrita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1729 Kovar Road	open
King Philip Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	481 Winthrop St	open
La Collina Restaurant	Bar		82 Hillside Ave	open
Mdt Bus	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Falls St	open
Mello Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	83 Winthrop St	open
No Limits Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
OLife Organics	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		14 Fall River Ave	open
Park's Asian Bistro and Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	3 Park St	open
Plaza Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	289 Winthrop St	open
Rehoboth Baking Co	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Pizza · Coffee	7 Park St	open
Rehoboth House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	503 Winthrop St Ste 3	open
Sky's the Limit	Bakery	Bakery	211 Providence St	open
THE 8IGHTS	Bar		88 Salisbury St	open
The Meadows Original Frozen Custard The Meadows Original Frozen Custard of Hollidaysburg	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3 Park St Unit 1	open
The-BakingNook	Bakery	Bakery	16 Peckham St	open
Traditions Bakeshop	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	83 Winthrop St	open
Uncle Ed's Front Porch	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	116 Winthrop St	open
Vino’s Family Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	503 Winthrop St	open
Zeno's II	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Asian	319 Tremont St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	1	2	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	3	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	19	6	7	6	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	17	7	4	6	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	5	5	10	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	22	5	6	11	—	NAICS2007
2011	25	23	5	8	10	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	6	4	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	14	6	3	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	5	4	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02769. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02771	3.8 mi	57	2023
02764	4.7 mi	3	2021

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.