BMIE Market 02777
Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,359 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,790 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,840 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,334 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $116,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,226 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $445,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 22.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02777 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 24.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +14.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -16.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -8.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +19.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 15–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.0 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02777. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.0 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49.8 | 50 | 35% | +17.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.6 | 45 | 25% | +11.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,359 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,364 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,790 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -16.2 | 16 | 35% | +5.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.9 | 43 | 25% | +10.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,359 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,364 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 14.8 | 73 | 50% | +36.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -16.2 | 16 | 30% | +4.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -8.8 | 17 | 20% | +3.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Spanish / tapas 4 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Dessert 13 · Quick service 13 · Bakery 12 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroma Joe's Coffee House & Drive Thru Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 755 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Audrey’s Market and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 395 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Black Salt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 481 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 711 Gar Highway | open |
| Continent Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 198 Pinehurst Ave | open |
| Core Nutrition | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 25 Market St | open |
| Cornerstone Bakery & Restaurant | Bakery | Bakery · Spanish / tapas · Breakfast | open | |
| County Fare Too Coney Island Hot Dogs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Hot dogs · Sandwiches | 1044 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 328 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2368 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | Rt 6 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 175 Maple Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 651 Gar Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 262 Swansea Mall Dr Unit 1330 | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop | Coffee | 814 Gar Hwy | open |
| Eskimo King | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 29 Market St | open |
| Fiesta Tequila Bar | Bar | Mexican | 1027 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 573 Grand Army Highway | open |
| Friendly's Friendly's | Dessert | American · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 748 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Gridiron Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 2416 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open | |
| Happy Clam | Bar | American · Spanish / tapas | 378 Ocean Grove Ave | open |
| Harvest Tap & Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 2685 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 581 G A.R. Highway Unit 1 | open |
| Jr's Seaside Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 378 Ocean Grove Ave | open |
| Kent's Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 1675 G A R Hwy | open |
| Kitchen Bifana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 207 Swansea Mall Dr | open | |
| Lavoro D'Amore | Quick service · Catering | open | ||
| Loves Cookies | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 410 Locust St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 631 Gar Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 181 James Reynolds Road | open |
| Mr Peeper's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 179 Gar Hwy | open |
| No Joke Smoke BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 395 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Ocean Grove Burrito Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 531 Wilbur Ave | open | |
| Ocean Grove Portuguese Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 317 Ocean Grove Ave | open |
| One Horse Pizzeria & Saloon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1635 Gar Hwy | open |
| Orange Leaf | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 581 Gar Hwy #7 | open |
| Pies by Moira | Bakery | Bakery | 311 Seaview Ave | open |
| Ping's Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 207 Swansea Mall Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 579 Grand Army Highway | open |
| Plaza Pizza II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 544 Milford Rd #16 | open |
| Ponderosa Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 728 Gar Hwy | open |
| Provolone's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 262 Swansea Mall Dr | open |
| REA'S | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 531 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Reds Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 Market St Ste 2 | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7070 Swansea Mall Dr | open |
| Short's Tavern | Bar | open | ||
| Stackers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2388 Gar Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 579 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 26 Market St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 79 Swansea Mall Dr | open |
| Swansea Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 79 Swansea Mall Dr Unit 2 | open | |
| Swansea House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 472 Wilbur Ave | open |
| Swansea Shellfish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1700 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 572 GAR Highway | open |
| Thai Taste | Swansea MA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 544 Milford Rd | open |
| The Acores | Family Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 317 Ocean Grove Ave | open |
| The Aviary Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2229 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open |
| The Ice Cream Barn | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 289 Locust St | open |
| The Rookery Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 2219 Grand Army of the Republic Hwy | open | |
| Tickle's | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2219 Gar Hwy | open |
| Umi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 579 Gar Hwy | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 632 US-6 | open |
| What's up Cupcake | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Bakery | 90 Elm St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 26 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 28 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 38 | 35 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 39 | 37 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 38 | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 40 | 40 | 21 | 11 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |