BMIE Market 02790

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,641 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,086 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,018 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$507,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	53.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02790
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+21.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02790. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.8	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.1	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	39.0	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,901	79	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	97,250	79	40%	+31.6
Households (ACS)	6,641	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.5	17	35%	+6.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	16,901	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	97,250	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.6	61	50%	+30.5
10-year restaurant growth	-11.5	17	30%	+5.2
20-year restaurant growth	-11.5	16	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 9 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Seafood 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Dessert 10 · Bar 8 · Café 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1773Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	762 Main Rd	open
Backyard Westport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	140 Charlotte White Rd Ext	open
Bittersweet Farm Restaurant and Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	438 Main Rd	open
Bittersweet Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sushi · Japanese	688 State Rd	open
Chef Jeff's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Seafood	1133 American Legion Hwy	open
Common Ground Coffee	Café	Coffee	762 Main Rd	open
Dirty O'Brian's	Bar		1118 Drift Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	175 State Rd	open
Gooseberry Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	875 State Rd	open
Gray's Daily Grind	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	638 Adamsville Rd	open
Handy Hill Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	55 Hixbridge Rd	open
Hixbridge Hospitality, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		66 State Rd	open
Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	174 State Rd	open
J & S Restaurant Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		645 State Rd	open
Juniors Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Pizza	151 State Rd	open
Just Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		98 Horseneck Rd	open
Kathy's Coffee Shop & Creamery	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	133 State Rd	open
Kozy Nook Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	645 State Rd	open
Lafrance Brothers, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		66 State Rd	open
Lexi's Road Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	175 State Rd	open
Lexi-Lu's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1133 American Legion Hwy	open
Lickety Splits	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	719 State Rd	open
Marguerite's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	778 Main Rd	open
Nces, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		760 Main Rd	open
Nick's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	655 State Rd #2862	open
Olympia Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	875 State Rd	open
Oriental Pearl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	576 State Rd	open
Perrys Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1037 Main Rd	open
Portas Da Cidade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	231 State Rd	open
Quansett Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · American	875 State Rd	open
StacyCakes Tea Shoppe & Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	762 Main Rd	open
Ten Cousins Brick Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	977 Main Rd	open
The Back Eddy	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1 Hix Bridge Rd	open
The Back Eddy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1 Bridge Rd	open
The Bayside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1253 Horseneck Rd	open
The Galley Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	66 State Rd	open
The Kitchen @ Compton Clambakes and Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	670 Main Rd	open
Tickle Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		289 Tickle Rd	open
Til Dusk Cafe and Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	549 American Legion Hwy	open
Timo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	151 State Rd A	open
Timo’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	BBQ · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	151 State Rd (Watuppa Plaza)	open
Village Pizza and Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	760 Main Rd	open
Westport Rivers Vineyard & Winery Westport Rivers Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		417 Hixbridge Rd	open
Westport Social Club	Bar		904 Main Rd	open
White's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	66 State Rd	open
Wild Honey Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	670 Main Rd	open
Wild Honey Cafe	Café	Coffee	670 Main Rd	open
Wingate's Cake Design	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	434 American Legion Hwy	open
Wood's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	17 Adamsville Rd	open
Small Town Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	778 Main Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	19	11	4	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	22	12	6	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	22	20	9	7	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	24	23	10	8	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	26	14	7	5	1	NAICS1997
2003	31	26	15	6	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	30	25	12	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	29	25	14	6	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	32	27	15	7	5	2	NAICS2002
2007	28	23	11	8	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	29	24	13	5	6	2	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	12	9	6	2	NAICS2007
2010	32	27	13	9	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	31	27	15	7	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	32	27	15	7	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	26	13	7	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	30	26	13	7	6	2	NAICS2012
2015	29	25	12	8	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	30	26	12	7	7	2	NAICS2012
2017	29	25	12	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	22	11	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	25	12	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	10	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	24	9	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	26	10	9	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	23	8	8	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02790. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02791	4.7 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.