BMIE Market 02813

Washington County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,051 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,831 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,151 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$525,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02813
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02813. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.1	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	19.9	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,051	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	109,404	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	3,493	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.3	20	35%	+7.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.6	41	25%	+10.2
Population (ACS)	8,051	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	109,404	86	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.1	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-6.3	20	30%	+6.1
20-year restaurant growth	7.1	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 7 · Seafood 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 7 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Around the Corner Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	14 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
Back Road Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4349 S County Trail	open
Breachway Gourmet	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
Charlestown Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3986 Old Post Rd	open
Charlestown Mini Super	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4071 Old Post Rd	open
Charlestown Seafood Festival	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4890 Old Post Rd	open
Dave's Coffee	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	5193 Old Post Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3983 Old Post Rd	open
East West Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5680 Post Rd	open
Hitching Post	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5402 Post Rd	open
Holy Cow A Heavenly Experience	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5000 S County Trl	open
Hunters Ridge	Bar		1354 Shannock Rd	open
Jitters Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	4 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
Johnny Angels Clam Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	523 Charlestown Beach Road	open
K&S Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	469 Carolina Back Rd	open
Kingston Pizza Charlestown Kingston Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4159 Old Post Rd	open
Monahan's Clam Shack by the Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5402 Post Rd	open
Night Watch Tavern	Bar		4115 Old Post Rd	open
Ocean View Motor Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5407 Post Rd	open
Sly Fox Den Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4349 S County Trl	open
Sun Tavern	Bar		112 Warren Rd	open
The Beach Rose Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
The Breachway Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	1 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
The Charlestown Rathskeller	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		489A Old Coach Rd	open
The Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
The Cove Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	3963 Old Post Rd	open
The Hungry Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5000 S County Trail	open
The Nordic	Buffet	Seafood · American	110 E Pasquisett Trl	open
Tropic Frost Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	4191 Old Post Rd	open
Vintage Cigar Lounge & Club	Bar		1 Charlestown Beach Rd	open
Wilcox Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5153 Old Post Rd.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	4	10	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	9	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	14	7	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	6	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	6	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	5	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	5	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	6	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	6	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	8	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	15	9	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	8	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	8	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	16	9	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	14	7	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	19	11	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	10	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	6	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	5	3	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	5	3	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02813. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02808	3.7 mi	1	2011
02894	3.8 mi	—
02875	4.8 mi	1	2012
02836	4.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.