BMIE Market 02814

Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,587 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±305 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,496 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,161 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,764 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,024 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±449 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$390,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,644 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02814
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02814. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.8	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	72	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	52.1	52	25%	+13.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,587	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	110,764	87	40%	+34.8
Households (ACS)	2,980	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	7,587	67	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	110,764	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 3 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aegean Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1195 Putnam Pike	open
Assados Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	102 Putnam Pike	open
Cady's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		2168 Putnam Pike	open
Chepachet Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	842 Putnam Pike	open
DePetrillo's Pizza and Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Pizza · Italian	1153 Putnam Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1018 Putnam Pike	open
Gentleman Farmer Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	617 Putnam Pike	open
Gentleman Farmer Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1617 Putnam Pike	open
Hill's Tavern & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	417 Putnam Pike	open
Inappropriate BrüHaus	Brewery / taproom		963 Putnam Pike	open
Mr. Z's By The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2400 Putnam Pike	open
Mulberry Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		95 Pound Rd	open
Philanthropy Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	11 Money Hill Rd	open
Pinewood Pub & Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	16 Terry Ln	open
Purple Cat Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		11 Money Hill Rd	open
Sasha’s Homemade	Bakery	Bakery	420 Chestnut Hill Rd	open
Stage Coach Tavern Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1157 Putnam Pike	open
Sticks Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		417 Putnam Pike	open
Tavern On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1157 Putnam Pike	open
Tyo-ristaino Corp Cadys Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2168 Putnam Pike	open
Village Bean Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	15 Money Hill Rd	open
Who Cut The Cheesecake	Bakery	Bakery	1195B Putnam Pike	open
The Nutty Scotsman Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		812 Putnam Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	6	—	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	8	6	1	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	14	6	4	1	1	8	NAICS2002
2006	12	6	3	2	1	6	NAICS2002
2007	14	8	5	2	1	6	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	4	1	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	3	2	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	3	2	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	11	7	3	3	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	10	7	5	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	8	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	9	5	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	5	—	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	5	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02814. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02839	4.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.