BMIE Market 02817

Kent County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,514 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,135 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,370 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$135,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,414 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$535,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68,112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02817
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02817. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.5	76	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.9	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	36.4	36	25%	+9.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,647	65	40%	+25.9
Median household income (ACS)	135,625	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	2,514	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	35%	+4.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	6,647	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	135,625	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1

By type

Bar 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alaina's Coffee and Kitchen	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	74 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Arcadia Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	780 Victory Hwy	open
Dan's Place	Casual dining · Bar	American · Pizza	880 Victory Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	780 Victory Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	49 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	111 Hopkins Hill Rd	open
Herbalife Elevated Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	34 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery	Bakery	79 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Latte Love Coffee Cne	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	701 Centre of New England Blvd	open
Leyden Farm Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		160 Plain Meeting House Rd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	849 Victory Hwy	open
Rhode Island Distributing Co	Bar		119 Hopkins Hill Rd	open
Tavern on the Hill	Casual dining · Bar	American	809 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
The Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	10 Arnold Farm Rd	open
The Woods Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	45 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Wicked Good Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Community Bruin Co.	Brewery / taproom		74 Nooseneck Hill Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	6	3	1	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	5	2	1	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	3	1	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	5	2	1	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	8	3	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	4	1	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	10	5	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	5	1	2	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	6	1	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	15	9	3	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	12	8	3	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	3	2	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	3	2	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	3	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	8	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	5	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	4	—	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	3	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02817. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.