BMIE Market 02822

Washington County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,539 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,111 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,401 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,032 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$520,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02822
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02822. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.3	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.6	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	30.4	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,539	65	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	112,813	88	40%	+35.1
Households (ACS)	2,142	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.9	38	25%	+9.4
Population (ACS)	6,539	65	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	112,813	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	116.7	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Dessert 6 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
401 Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	567 S County Trail	open
Appalachian Tanglewoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		199 Austin Farm Rd	open
Celestial Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	567 S County Trail	open
Cornerstone Pub	Bar · Casual dining		273 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	561b South County Trail	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	260 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Effie Filippou's Twisted Pizza Order Online	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	567 S County Trail	open
Exeter Town Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Breakfast	250 S County Trail	open
Homestead Restaurant & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	750 S County Trail	open
Kiki's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	South County Trail	open
Little Country Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	349 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Milk Caffe & Catering	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	Oak Harbor Village, 567 S County Trl	open
Next To Nowhere Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	230 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Pb Management, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		273 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Rainy’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	165 E Shore Dr	open
Shoreline Properties Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 South County Trl Ste A207	open
Sophie's Brewhouse	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		699 S County Trail	open
South County Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		570 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Taste of China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	567 S County Trail	open
The Middle of Nowhere Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	222 Nooseneck Hill Rd	open
Tilted Barn Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Helmsley Pl	open
Tilted Barn Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		One Hemsley Pl	open
Two Scoops Cafe	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	567 S County Trail	open
The Twisted Cafe	Café		570 Nooseneck Hill Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	3	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	5	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	3	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	6	2	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	7	2	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	5	2	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	6	3	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	5	3	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	15	6	3	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	6	3	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	5	3	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	6	3	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	6	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	5	3	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	5	3	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02822. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.