BMIE Market 02857

Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,262 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±992 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,405 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,412 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,413 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,980 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,548 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$428,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,011 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02857
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+142.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+88.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02857. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.3	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	73.9	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,262	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	108,679	86	40%	+34.4
Households (ACS)	3,405	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.6	36	25%	+9.0
Population (ACS)	8,262	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	108,679	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	142.9	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blazing Moose Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		101 Pinecrest Dr	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	37 Village Plaza Way	open
Cindy's Diner and Restaurant	Casual dining	American	46 Hartford Ave	open
Cold Brook Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	138 Danielson Pike	open
Concetta's Bean to Bar Confections	Dessert · Café · Bar	Dessert · Coffee	985 Chopmist Hill Rd	open
Corner Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1115 Hartford Pike	open
Country Chowder Shack	Quick service	Seafood · British / Irish pub food	659 Hartford Pike	open
Cuozzo's Casa De Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Village Plaza Way	open
DiFazio Farm & Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1160 Chopmist Hill Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	136 Island Way	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1199 Chopmist Hill Rd North	open
Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	92 Hartford Pike	open
Farmstand Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	985 Chopmist Hill Rd	open
Groundwater Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Spanish / tapas	985 Chopmist Hill Rd Unit 1	open
Helen's Place	Bar		172 Danielson Pike	open
Knight Farm, Farmer's Omelette Breakfast Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1 Snake Hill Rd	open
Little B's BBQ	Catering · Food truck	BBQ	56 Peeptoad Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	49 Hartford Ave	open
Merola’s Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	50 Danielson Pike	open
Moose Trackers Ice Cream and Confections	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1 Village Plaza Way	open
Sissy's Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	180 Danielson Pike	open
Smoke & Squeal BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		985 Chopmist Hill Rd	open
Socrates Pizza Scituate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	985 Chopmist Hill Rd North	open
Sonic	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		416 Trimtown Rd	open
Suzy Q's Place, Plainfield Pike Rd., Scituate, RI	Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	208 Plainfield Pike	open
The Village Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		90 Hartford Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	15	7	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02857. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02815	3.4 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.