BMIE Market 03038

Rockingham County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,415 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,322 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,547 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$430,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03038
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-1.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	60 (range 55–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03038. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.1	89	40%	+35.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.4	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	25.5	25	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,474	91	40%	+36.6
Median household income (ACS)	108,322	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	13,155	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-1.9	22	35%	+7.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	34,474	91	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	108,322	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10.3	18	50%	+9.2
10-year restaurant growth	-1.9	22	30%	+6.7
20-year restaurant growth	23.8	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (121)

By cuisine

Coffee 17 · Pizza 17 · American 16 · Dessert 12 · Italian 11 · Asian 9 · Bakery 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Chinese 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 70 · Bakery 16 · Bar 15 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 14 · Casual dining 12 · Coffee shop 12 · Café 11 · Brewery / taproom 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&r Southside Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	127 Rockingham Rd	open
Amphora	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	55 Crystal Ave	open
Anthony's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	43 E Broadway	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	14 Manchester Rd	open
Appolo Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		49 Lawrence Rd	open
Ardini’s Fresh To Go Signature Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 N Main St	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13 Manchester Rd	open
Astro Cafe	Café	Coffee	5 Pinkerton St	open
Billy's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	61 Crystal Ave	open
Blue House Derry	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	21 Birch St	open
Blue Mango	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	55 Crystal Ave	open
Brooklyn Bagel Restaurant	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	11 Manchester Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	35 Manchester Rd	open
Buxton's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	158 Rockingham Rd	open
C&K Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 E Broadway	open
Cafe Latino Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Crystal Ave	open
Carina's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	14B E Broadway	open
Carpi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21 Birch St	open
Casa Java Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	17 Birch St	open
Charlie Mac's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	127 Rockingham Rd	open
Chens Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	122 E Broadway	open
Chickadee Hill Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	49 E Broadway	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	34 Manchester Rd	open
Clam Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	94 Rockingham Rd	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	53 E Broadway	open
Derry House Of Pizza & Roast Beef	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	14 N Main St	open
Derry Restaurant & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 W Broadway	open
Destination India Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	14 E Broadway A	open
Dicken's Pub	Bar · Brewery / taproom		4 Berlin Ave	open
Dim Sum Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	62 Crystal Ave	open
Doire Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		5 E Broadway	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	61 Crystal Ave	open
Drae	Bar	Spanish / tapas	14 E Broadway	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2 Ashleigh Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	418 Island Pond Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5 Crystal Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	50 Birch St Speedway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	160 Rockingham Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	55 Crystal Ave	open
East Broadway Smoke Inn	Bar			open
Fish & Chix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	22 Manchester Rd #13	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	61 Crystal Ave	open
Fody's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		187 1/2 Rockingham Rd	open
Foundation Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	32 W Broadway	open
From The Barrel Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1 Corporate Park Drive Unit 16	open
From The Barrel Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1 Corporate Park Dr Unit 16	open
Halligan Tavern	Bar		32 W Broadway	open
Hao Hua Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		122 E Broadway	open
Hare Of The Dawg	Casual dining · Bar	American	3 E Broadway	open
Heav'nly Donuts Derry NH	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	36 S Main St	open
Heritage Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	91 W Broadway	open
Hidden Valley Bar & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		81 Damren Rd	open
Hometown Roots	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	16 Manning St	open
Jake D's Roast Beef, Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	14 W Broadway	open
Katrina's cupcakes	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16 Manning St	open
Kelsen Brewing	Brewery / taproom		80 N High St Unit 3	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	50 E Derry Rd	open
La Carreta Derry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	35 Manchester Rd Ste 5a	open
La Dolce Vita Weddings	Bakery	Bakery	23 Central St	open
LaBelle Winery Derry Event Center LaBelle Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		14 NH-111	open
Lei's Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	150 Rockingham Rd	open
Lobster Claw Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4 S Main St	open
Los Reyes Street Tacos & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	127 Rockingham Rd	open
Lucky Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	49 E Broadway	open
Maddie's Brookside	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 S Main St	open
MaryAnn's Restaurant Maryann's Diner Salem	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	29 E Broadway	open
Matcha	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	55 E Broadway	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	45 Crystal Ave	open
Meadow Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		1 E Broadway	open
Messy Mike's Barbecue And Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	161 Rockingham Rd	open
Mickey's NY Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 Crystal Ave	open
Moo's Place Homemade Ice Cream Moo's Place	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	27 Crystal Ave	open
Nomad Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	20 Berry Rd	open
On The Corner Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	418 Island Pond Rd	open
One Happy Clam Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		8 Dustin Ave	open
Paisanos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4 Chester Rd	open
Palermo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	129 Rockingham Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	19B Manchester Road	open
Papa Gino's Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	14 Crystal Ave	open
Pete's Garage Pete's Garage Bar	Bar		353 Island Pond Rd	open
Pete's Scoop	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	187 Rockingham Rd	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	158 Rockingham Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	46 Crystal Ave	open
Pressed For Time Mobile Cafe	Food truck · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	129 Rockingham Rd	open
Rig A' Tony's Italian Take- Out Rig A Tony’s Italian Takeout & Catering	Catering · Casual dining	Italian · American	38 W Broadway	open
Rockingham Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1 Corporate Park Dr	open
Rockingham Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1 Corporate Park Dr Unit 1	open
Romano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	35 Manchester Rd	open
Sabatino's North Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1 E Broadway	open
Sal's Pizza Sal's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2 Lenox Rd	open
Seasons Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15 Crystal Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	68 Crystal Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10 Nashua Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11 Ashleigh Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	61 Crystal Ave	open
Summit Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42 E Broadway	open
Sumo Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	55 Crystal Ave #24	open
Sun Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese	91 W Broadway	open
Sun Sun Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	62 Crystal Ave	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	41 Crystal Ave	open
Tavares Taproom	Bar		Willow Street	open
TBONES Great American Eatery T-BONES and Cactus Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	39 Crystal Ave	open
Thai Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	35 Manchester Rd	open
The Coffee Factory The Coffee Factory	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	Hood Commons Plaza, 55 Crystal Ave	open
The Common Man Roadside Market & Deli - Derry	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	56 Crystal Ave	open
The Derry Diner	Casual dining	American	29 Crystal Ave	open
The Grind	Café	Coffee	5 W Broadway	open
The Nutrition Corner	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	418 Island Pond Rd	open
The Ricochet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	35 Manchester Rd #10	open
Trio's Pizzeria & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 Manchester Rd	open
Troy's Fresh Kitchen Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	11 Manchester Rd	open
Tupelo Food Beverages	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10 A St	open
USA Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	66 Crystal Ave	open
VFW	Bar		18 Railroad Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11 Ashleigh Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	56 Crystal Avenue	open
Wrap City Sandwich Co. Wrap City Sandwich Co.	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	55 Crystal Ave	open
From The Barrel Brewing Co Llc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Corporate Park Dr	closed
Harvie Custom Computers Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 Manchester Rd	closed
Juliano's Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Nashua Rd	closed
The Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	11 Manchester Rd Unit 2	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	39	39	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	31	31	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	29	29	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	38	37	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	45	42	16	19	7	2	NAICS1997
1999	45	42	16	19	7	1	NAICS1997
2000	48	45	13	25	6	—	NAICS1997
2001	41	39	10	24	5	—	NAICS1997
2002	43	41	9	27	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	44	42	12	27	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	54	52	15	32	5	—	NAICS2002
2005	47	45	13	28	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	50	48	14	29	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	52	50	17	29	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	55	54	16	30	8	—	NAICS2007
2009	55	54	17	29	8	—	NAICS2007
2010	61	60	20	32	8	—	NAICS2007
2011	55	55	19	26	10	—	NAICS2007
2012	57	56	17	33	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	54	53	20	27	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	53	52	21	24	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	56	53	22	23	8	—	NAICS2012
2016	57	53	20	25	8	—	NAICS2012
2017	59	54	17	31	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	63	58	18	35	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	59	54	17	31	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	63	59	21	30	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	62	57	20	31	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	64	60	23	30	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	56	52	18	26	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03038. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.