BMIE Market 03049

Hillsborough County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,603 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,355 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,688 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$168,883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,598 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$675,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,830 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03049
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 8–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03049. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.3	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	30.2	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,603	69	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	168,883	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	3,355	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	8,603	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	168,883	98	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Dessert 6 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baan Chiffon	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	6 Federal Hill Rd	open
Buckley's Market & Cafe Buckley's Bakery & Cafe - Merrimack	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	9 Market Pl	open
Buckleys Bakery-cafe Hollis, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9 Market Pl	open
Christy’s Cookies	Dessert	Dessert		open
Country Rose Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	3 Sherwood Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2 Main St	open
Fulchino Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		187 Pine Hill Rd	open
Hollis Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Burgers	248 Worcester Rd	open
Hollis Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean	3 Proctor Hill Rd	open
Hollis House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	22 Ash St	open
Island Vibe Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	65 Broad St	open
La Petite Cuisine	Bakery	Bakery		open
Market Place Diner	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American · Coffee	4 Market Pl Ste D	open
Miss Molly's Cupcakes & Lemonade	Food truck · Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	Swallow Drive & Farley Road	open
Monument Square Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches · Pizza	4 Monument Square	open
Pizzeria Zacharia Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	85 Runnells Bridge Rd	open
The Sweetheart Baking Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	23 Ash St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	8	4	1	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03049. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03063	4.1 mi	56	2023
03033	4.6 mi	5	2023
03062	4.7 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.