BMIE Market 03249

Belknap County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,108 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,635 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,098 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±747 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$456,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03249
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+325.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+183.3% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03249. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.0	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.1	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	80.6	81	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,830	67	40%	+26.9
Median household income (ACS)	116,635	89	40%	+35.7
Households (ACS)	3,044	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.7	33	25%	+8.3
Population (ACS)	7,830	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	116,635	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30.8	84	50%	+41.8
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	325	97	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Axe and Ale Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar		9 Old Lake Shore Rd	open
Bagel Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast		open
Beans & Greens Coffee Carriage	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	245 Intervale Rd	open
Country Cook'n At The Lakeside	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	1457 Lake Shore Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	63 Gilford East Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1400 Lake Shore Rd	open
El tequila gilford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1478 Lake Shore Rd	open
Ellacoya Barn & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Ellacoya Barn & Grille	Specialty food shop · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar	Sandwiches · American	2667 Lake Shore Rd	open
Gilford Gourmet	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Dessert	75 Goodwin Rd	open
Gilford House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 Old Lake Shore Rd	open
Identity Coffee Co. Gilford, NH	Coffee shop	Coffee	28 Weirs Rd	open
Jaw Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 Weirs Rd	open
Kitchen Cravings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15 Airport Rd	open
Lakeshore Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	18 Weirs Rd Store #4	open
Mount Washington Distillers	Winery / distillery / taproom		270 Hounsell Ave	open
Myrna's Classic Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	131 Lake St	open
Panorama Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		719 Cherry Valley Rd	open
Papa Gino's Papa Gino's	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1425 Lake Shore Rd	open
Patricks Home Bar	Bar · Casual dining		9 Sargents Pl	open
Peet's Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	1400 Lake Shore Rd	open
Pizza Express of Gilford Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Greek	4 Country Club Rd	open
Powder Keg Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		719 Cherry Valley Rd	open
Pub Mania Patrick's Pub & Eatery in Gilford NH	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	18 Weirs Rd	open
Samuel Adams BrewHouse	Brewery / taproom		Meadowbrook U.S. Cellular Pavilion	open
Sawyer's Dairy Bar	Dessert	Seafood · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1933 Lake Shore Rd	open
Schuster's Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	580 Cherry Valley Rd	open
Stir Crazy Baking	Bakery	Bakery	Ridgewood Ave	open
Taste of Legacy Cafe & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	131 Lake St #10	open
The Breeze	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	25 Dock Rd	open
Waldo Peppers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1457 Lake Shore Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1458 Lake Shore Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1428 Lake Shore Rd	open
Winnipesaukee Bay Gulls 2	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	18 Weirs Rd	open
Junior’s Crush House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Weirs Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	5	6	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	7	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03249. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03810	4.1 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.