BMIE Market 03251

Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,461 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,662 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,988 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,096 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,143 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±498 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$342,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	66.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03251
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	132.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+3.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 27–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03251. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.0	43	40%	+17.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.8	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	59.5	60	25%	+14.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,461	39	40%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	70,625	48	40%	+19.2
Households (ACS)	632	41	20%	+8.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.7	65	35%	+22.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	184.8	2	25%	+0.5
Population (ACS)	1,461	39	20%	+7.8
Median household income (ACS)	70,625	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8	65	50%	+32.6
10-year restaurant growth	22.7	65	30%	+19.6
20-year restaurant growth	3.9	37	20%	+7.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Casual dining 15 · Bar 11 · Café 8 · Dessert 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alpine Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	45 Main St	open
American Legion Post 83	Bar		183 Main Street	open
Arnold’s Wayside Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	90 US-3	open
Babes Blue Ox at Loon Mountain	Bar	American	60 Loon Mountain Rd	open
Basecamp Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		25 S Mountain Dr	open
Black Mtn. Burger Co.	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	264 Main St	open
Boba Tea Garden	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	136 Main St	open
Chat Room Coffee House & Books	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	112 Main St	open
Chieng Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	165 Main St	open
Chutters Chutters	Dessert	Dessert	264 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	44 Main St	open
El Charro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5 Lumber Yard Dr	open
El Greco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	123 Main St	open
Encore Thrift and Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	264 Main St	open
Enzo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	165 Main St	open
Fired on the Mountain	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Vegetarian · Bakery	437 US-3	open
Flap Jacks Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		49 Main St	open
Flapjacks Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	149 Main St	open
Fresh Tracks Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	264 Main St	open
GH Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	77 Main St	open
Gordis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	260 Main St	open
Gypsy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	117 Main St	open
Indian Head Trail	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
Jimmy Seas Pan Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	Market Mills place / Village shops, 25 S Mountain Dr 2nd Floor	open
Jimmy Seas Pan Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 S Mountain Rd # 2	open
La Vista	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	22 South Mountain Dr	open
Lincoln Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6 Pollard Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	112 Main St	open
Moose on the Run Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	187 Main St	open
Mountainside Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	49 Main St	open
Nachos Mexican Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	179 Main St	open
One Love Brewery	Brewery / taproom		25 S Mountain Rd	open
One Love Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 S Mountain Rd Unit 4	open
Pub 32	Bar · Casual dining		264 Main St	open
Saperavi Brothers Wine Merchant	Bar			open
Seasons	Buffet		90 Loon Mountain Rd	open
Seven Birches Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		22 S Mountain Dr	open
Seven Birches Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		22 South Mountain Drive	open
Snowfish Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	25 S Mountain Dr Unit 112	open
South Peak Base Camp	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		63 Crooked Mountain Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	159 Main St	open
Summit Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	60 Loon Mountain Rd	open
Sweetz & More	Dessert		55 Main St	open
Thai 9	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	151 Main St	open
The Black Diamond Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining		90 Loon Mountain Rd	open
The Chocolatier South Peak	Dessert	Dessert	25 S Mountain Dr	open
The Common Man Lincoln The Common Man	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10 Pollard Rd	open
The Grateful Skier Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11 Pollard Rd	open
The Moon Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	28 South Mountain Dr	open
The Peppermint Saloon	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14 Riverside Cemetery Rd	open
The Profile Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	664 US-3	open
Thunderbird Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		Daniel Webster Hwy	open
Udderly Delicious Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	121 Main St	open
Whistle Stop Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	Loon Mtn	open
White Mountain Bagel Co	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	25 Main St	open
White Mountain Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		527 US-3	open
White Mtn Sweet Treats	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	50 Railroad St	open
Atrium Wine Bar	Winery / distillery / taproom		25 S Mountain Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	27	26	15	8	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	24	23	15	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	26	24	13	7	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	31	29	16	9	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	28	27	15	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	27	26	15	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	32	31	16	11	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	26	25	12	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	24	13	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	25	23	13	5	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	14	4	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	24	14	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	22	14	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	23	14	4	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	22	11	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	13	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	25	13	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	13	5	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	25	14	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	13	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	25	13	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	25	13	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	26	15	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	25	14	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	27	15	6	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	27	15	6	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03251. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.