BMIE Market 03262

Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±233 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,231 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$319,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,400 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03262
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	81.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03262. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.5	48	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.9	34	35%	+11.9
Market Momentum Score	68	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,142	34	40%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	85,667	69	40%	+27.5
Households (ACS)	488	36	20%	+7.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	105.1	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	1,142	34	20%	+6.9
Median household income (ACS)	85,667	69	20%	+13.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	71.4	75	20%	+15.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cafe Lafayette Dinner Train	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	3 Crossing At Riverplace	open
Cafe Lafayette Dinner Train & Depot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	3 Crossing At Riverplace Dr	open
Conehead's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	104 Main St	open
Emporium Candy Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	116 Main St	open
Imperial Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	93 Main St	open
Merland's Tap & Table	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	96 Main St	open
Mountain Maples	Dessert		8 Depot St	open
Pemi Public House	Casual dining · Bar		115 Main St	open
Rustic River Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5 Main St	open
Scoop Doggs	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	104 Main St	open
StrEatz Mobile Food	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		942 Eastside Rd	open
Streatz Mobile Food Truck	Food truck		942 Eastside Rd	open
Truant's Tavern	Bar		96 Main St	open
Twin Barns Brewing Co - North Taproom	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	99 Main St	open
Woodstock Coffee Company	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	114 Main St	open
Woodstock Inn Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom	Breakfast	135 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	6	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	5	—	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	6	—	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	7	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	9	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	9	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	10	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	10	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	10	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	10	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	8	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03262. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03293	2.5 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.