BMIE Market 03276

Merrimack County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,015 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$272,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03276
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+105.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+143.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 34–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03276. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.6	68	40%	+27.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.2	48	35%	+16.9
Market Momentum Score	65.5	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,015	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	82,425	65	40%	+26.0
Households (ACS)	3,573	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+18.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	43.3	12	25%	+3.0
Population (ACS)	9,015	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	82,425	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	105.3	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

American 16 · Sandwiches 9 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 13 · Bar 11 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 7 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1875 Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	255 Main St	open
215 Laconia Rd Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 Laconia Rd	open
99 Restaurants	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	154 Laconia Rd	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	Shaws Plaza, 75 Laconia Rd	open
Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	478 W Main St	open
AutoCafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	40 E Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	25 Tilton Road	open
Casa Lago Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	500 Laconia Rd	open
Casamigos	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	276 Main St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18 Lowes Dr	open
ciao pasta 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	133 Park St	open
Constantly Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	541 W Main St	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	585 W Main St	open
Diana's Morning Brew	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	267 Main St Ste 600	open
Dining At The Lake Estate	Restaurant (service type not stated)		725 Laconia Rd	open
Dipsy Doodle Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Seafood · Dessert	143 Park St	open
Dox On Winnisquam	Bar	Seafood · American	927 Laconia Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	541 W. Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	65 Laconia Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	39 E Main St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	120 Laconia Road Suite 510	open
Frontera Tacos & Tequila Frontera Tacos & Tequila - Middletown	Bar	Mexican	18 Lowes Dr Bar	open
Green Ginger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	75 Laconia Rd	open
Greenside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	360 Laconia Rd	open
Highland Bar	Casual dining · Bar		75 Ski Hill Dr	open
Hot Diggity Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · Burgers	545 Laconia Rd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	18 Lowes Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	120 Laconia Road Unit 313	open
Kettlehead Brewing Company Kettlehead Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	407 W Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	37 Tilton Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		622 Laconia Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	311 Main St	open
Lakes Region Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	285 Main St	open
Lakes Region Student Transport Llc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		272 Tilton Rd	open
Lobster Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1007 Laconia Rd	open
Lone Star BBQ Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	303 Laconia Rd	open
Mama Mia's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		650 Laconia Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5 Tilton Rd	open
Million Dragon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	235 E Main St	open
Park Street Pub and Tavern	Bar	American	41 Park St	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	235 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	15 Lowes Dr	open
Raw Life Cafe & Juice Bar	Other	Sandwiches	570 Laconia Rd	open
Rpb Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Park St	open
Shiloh's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	504 Laconia Rd	open
Smoke N Barley	Casual dining · Bar		485 Laconia Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	120 Laconia Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	63 Laconia Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	630 West Main Street	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	33 Sherwood Dr	open
Sweetz & More	Dessert	Dessert	120 Laconia Rd #305	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	155 Laconia Road	open
The Grazing Goose Breads and Bakes	Bakery	Bakery	157 Bay Hill Rd	open
Tilt'n Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	120 E Main St	open
Tilt'n Diner The Common Man	Casual dining	American	61 Laconia Rd	open
Tilton House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	298 Main St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	120 Laconia Rd	open
UNO Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	122 Laconia Rd	open
Uno Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	122 Laconia Rd	open
UNO Pizzeria and Grill Uno Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	122 Laconia Rd	open
Upper Crust Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	65 Laconia Rd	open
V's Sandwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian	285 Main St	open
Vong's Thai Cuisine New Hampshire	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	65 Laconia Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	33 Sherwood Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	156 Laconia Rd	open
Winni Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	650 Laconia Rd	open
Winnisquam Country Store & Deli	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1021 Laconia Rd	open
Wrap City Sandwich Co. Wrap City Sandwich Co.	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	215 Laconia Rd	open
Yuen Sing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	630 W Main St	open
Northfield Eatery & Bakery Llc	Bakery	Bakery	133 Park St	closed
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	120 Laconia Rd	closed
Vida Ii Mexican Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		650 Laconia Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	19	19	9	6	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	19	9	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	18	9	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	18	9	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	16	7	5	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	19	10	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	28	25	12	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	33	30	15	11	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	36	34	16	13	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	34	32	18	9	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	28	15	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	30	18	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	35	32	17	9	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	36	34	17	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	39	36	19	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	37	35	18	13	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	33	31	15	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	33	16	12	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	37	35	15	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	36	16	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	37	17	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	34	17	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	37	34	17	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	41	36	18	14	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	39	18	16	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03276. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.