BMIE Market 03303

Merrimack County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,571 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±742 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,524 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,699 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$296,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,299 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03303
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+54.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 17–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.1	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.6	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	60.1	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,571	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	80,456	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	6,700	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.8
Population (ACS)	16,571	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	80,456	63	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	21.4	47	20%	+9.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alan's of Boscawen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	133 N Main St	open
Alexandra's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	15 Village St	open
Aroma Joes Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	214 Fisherville Rd	open
CC Tomatoes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	209 Fisherville Rd	open
Chief's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	348 Village St	open
Coffin Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1224 Battle St	open
Constantly Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	108 Fisherville Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	212 Fisherville Rd	open
Donatello's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15 Village St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	154 King St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	98 Fisherville Rd	open
Frekey’s Dairy Freeze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	74 Fisherville Rd	open
Haley and Bear	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	172 N Main St	open
High Street Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	12 High St	open
Jessica Donuts Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		98 Fisherville Rd	open
Lilac Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	99 Washington St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	111 Fisherville Rd	open
New Hampshire Cider Works	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		73 Carter Hill Rd	open
Smoke Shack BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	146 King St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	217 Fisherville Rd	open
Sweet Dreamz	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	325 Village St	open
Szechuan Gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	108 Fisherville Rd	open
The Forum Pub	Bar · Casual dining		15 Village St	open
The Hungry Caterpillar	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	138 Village St	open
The POST Restaurant	Bakery	American · Breakfast · Bakery	125 Fisherville Rd	open
The Vineyards of Concord	Winery / distillery / taproom		1 Riesling Terrace UNIT 1	open
Victoria Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 Fisherville Rd	open
Summer Freeze	Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	74 Fisherville Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	7	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	5	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	6	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03303. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.