BMIE Market 03461

Cheshire County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,497 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,014 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,224 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,123 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$415,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03461
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03461. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.8	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.5	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	27.8	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,497	64	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	102,679	83	40%	+33.0
Households (ACS)	1,887	60	20%	+12.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	6,497	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	102,679	83	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bar 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1116 NH-119	open
Carols's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Pizza	1170 NH-119	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1448 NH-119	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		1448 NH Route 119	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1448 NH Route 119	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1116 Cathedral Rd #C	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	242 Us Route 202	open
Emma's 321 Pub & Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		377 US-202	open
Franklin Pierce Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	40 Pierce Dr	open
Gourmet Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert		open
Gourmet Donuts Gourmet Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	497 US-202	open
Harty Treats	Bakery	Bakery	130 Woodbound Rd	open
Hiraeth Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining	American · Healthy / salads / bowls	462 US-202	open
Hometown Diner	Casual dining	American	1421 NH-119	open
Identity Coffee Lab	Coffee shop	Coffee	1090 NH Route 119	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1411 NH-119	open
Jp Stephen's Restaurant & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	377 US Route 202	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	232 US Route 202	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5 Sonja Road	open
Low Bar	Bar	American	46 Cleaves Rd	open
Lupos Lakeside Tavern and Resort	Bar · Casual dining		4 Sportsman Dr	open
Main Menu	Catering	American	99 Todd Hill Rd	open
Phoenix Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	242 US-202	open
Pizza Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1343 NH-119	open
Pizza Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1116 NH Route 119	open
Sandwich Master	Other	Sandwiches	145 US Route 202, Unit 3, 202 Nh Route 119	open
Sandwich Master	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	19 Sonja Drive	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	750 US Hwy 202	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service		1411 Nh Route 119	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	7	1	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	8	1	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	—	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	—	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	8	3	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	7	—	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03461. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.