BMIE Market 03561

Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,939 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,075 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,746 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,979 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$282,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55,095 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03561
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	38.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+92.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 25–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03561. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28.0	28	35%	+9.8
Market Momentum Score	26.0	26	25%	+6.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,040	63	40%	+25.4
Median household income (ACS)	56,746	24	40%	+9.7
Households (ACS)	2,723	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.6	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	44.7	11	25%	+2.9
Population (ACS)	6,040	63	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	56,746	24	20%	+4.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	50%	+8.3
10-year restaurant growth	-3.6	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	35	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 11 · Dessert 10 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
99 Restaurants 99 Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	683-685 Meadow St	open
Alburritos Mexican Restaurant & Tequila Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	106 Main St	open
Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		390 Meadow St	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	582 Meadow St	open
Asian Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	551 Meadow St	open
Asian Garden Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		780 Meadow St	open
Asian Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	780 Meadow St	open
Baltic Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	183 Cottage St	open
Bishops Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	183 Cottage St	open
Blue Jay Coffee & Tea Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	81 Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	296 Meadow Street	open
Chang Thai Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	77 Main St	open
Chutters Chutters	Dessert		43 Main St	open
Cigar Shenanigans, The Second One	Bar		678 Meadow St	open
Cookies & Crème	Dessert	Dessert	106 Main St	open
Crumb Bum Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	97 Main St	open
Deluxe House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	70 Meadow St	open
Domino's Pizza Littleton, NH Domino's Republica Dominicana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	683 Meadow St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	148-150 Main St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	615 Meadow St Wal Mart 2681	open
Gold House Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Greek	87 Main St	open
Golden Bamboo Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	60 Main St	open
Grill111	Quick service		Thayers Inn, 111 Main St	open
Jack & Fin's	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	42 Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	587 Meadow Street Suite 302	open
Joanne's Sweet Breads	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	249 W Elm St	open
Liberty Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 W Main St	open
Littleton Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	145 Main St	open
Littleton Freehouse Taproom & Eatery	Casual dining · Bar		28 Cottage St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	75 Old County Road	open
Meadow Ice Cream and Seafood	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	339 Meadow St	open
Mike's Speak Easy Lounge	Bar	American	421 Meadow St	open
Mill Street Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16 Mill St	open
Miller's Cafe & Bakery	Café	Coffee	16 Mill St	open
Mr Lin's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	326 Union St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	238 Meadow St	open
Porfido's Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	84 Main St	open
Rooted on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30 Main St	open
Schilling Beer Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		18 Mill St	open
Slim Pickin's	Bar		289 Main St	open
Sour's Taverna	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	26 Thayers Ln	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	587 Meadow St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	260 Meadow St	open
Surf Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Tall Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7 Main St	open
Taste the Thai & Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese	406 Union St	open
The Beal House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2 W Main St	open
The Coffee Pot Restaurant	Coffee shop	Coffee	30 Main St	open
The InkWell Coffee & Teahouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	42 Mill St	open
The Inkwell Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	24 Beacon St	open
The Little Grille The Little Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	62 Cottage St	open
The Travelers Gourmet, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Main St	open
Tim-bir Alley Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7 Main St	open
Topic of the Town Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	25 Main St	open
White Mountain Frosty Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Seafood · Pizza	356 Union St	open
Wildbloom Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		42 Main St 2nd Floor	open
Italian Oasis Restaurant	Brewery / taproom		106 Main St Ste C	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	21	20	12	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	10	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	22	21	10	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	20	10	5	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	24	23	12	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	24	12	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	25	11	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	12	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	23	12	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	28	12	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	26	26	12	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	28	13	12	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	28	28	13	11	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	27	12	11	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	12	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	32	28	11	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	31	13	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	30	15	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	28	13	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	29	15	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	28	15	9	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	27	14	9	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03561. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.