BMIE Market 03755

Grafton County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,013 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,538 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,152 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$165,884 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	23.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$814,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68,184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03755
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03755. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.0	81	40%	+32.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.4	53	35%	+18.7
Market Momentum Score	42.9	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,569	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	165,884	97	40%	+39.0
Households (ACS)	3,013	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.7	29	25%	+7.3
Population (ACS)	10,569	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	165,884	97	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	38.9	58	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Coffee 13 · American 9 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Pizza 3 · Sushi 3 · Thai 3 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Café 11 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Food truck 3 · Catering 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4U Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	44 S Main St	open
Base Camp Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	3 Lebanon St	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11 Lebanon St	open
Bistro At Six	Bar		6 South St	open
Boloco Boloco	Quick service	Mexican · American	35 S Main St	open
Canoe Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	27 S Main St	open
Casa Brava Tapas	Bar	Spanish / tapas	6 E South St	open
Courtyard Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	4 E Wheelock St	open
Cupcake Queen - Upper Valley	Bakery · Dessert · Catering	Dessert · Bakery	9 Storrs Rd	open
Dartmouth Food Court	Food truck			open
Dirt Cowboy Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	7 S Main St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	73 S Main St	open
Duende	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	15 Lebanon St	open
Dunk's Sports Grill	Casual dining · Bar		7 Lebanon St Ste 103	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	73 S Main St	open
EBA'S - Everything But Anchovies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 Allen St	open
Hanover Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	57 S Main St Ste 104	open
Impasto Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	44 S Main St	open
Indian	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 S Main St	open
Jesse's Steakhouse Jesse's Steaks, Seafood & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	7 Blue Sky Drive	open
Jewel of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	11 Lebanon St	open
Kata Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	6 Allen St	open
Kensington Investments, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 S Main St	open
King's Row Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	10 Buck Rd	open
Little Havana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	15 Lebanon St	open
Lou's Restaurant & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2 Buck Rd	open
Lou's Restaurant & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Breakfast	30 S Main St	open
Mai Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	44 S Main St	open
Market Table	Café	Coffee	44 S Main St	open
Martha's On A Roll	Food truck			open
Molly's Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	43 S Main St	open
Molly's Restaurant In Hanover Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 S Main St	open
Morano Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	57 S Main St #101	open
Murphy's On The Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	11 S Main St	open
My Brigadeiro	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	33 S Main St	open
Noodle Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	11 Lebanon St	open
Novack Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	25 N Main St	open
One Wheelock	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1 W Wheelock St	open
Orient Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Chinese	3 Lebanon St	open
PINE Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2 E Wheelock St	open
Playa Bowls Playa Bowls	Quick service		57 S Main Street, Suite 101	open
Ramunto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 South St	open
Red Kite Candy	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5 South St	open
Salt Hill Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	7 Lebanon St	open
SamosaMan Exotic Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Allen St	open
Sawtooth Kitchen, Bar and Stage	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		Allen St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	44 S Main St	open
Stinson's Village Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2 Allen St	open
SUBWAY Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	32 Lebanon St	open
Sushiya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	72 S Main St	open
Tacos Y Tequila Hanover	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3 Lebanon St	open
The Box Food Truck & Catering	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		14 N Main St	open
The Nest Kitchen & Cafe	Café	Coffee	57 S Main St	open
The Works Bakery Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 S Main St	open
Tuk Tuk Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5 S Main St	open
Umpleby's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	3 South St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	45 S Park St	open
Bagel Basement	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Allen St # 2	closed
Candela Tapas Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Lebanon St	closed
Cutting's Northside Cafe	Café	Coffee	62 Lyme Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	22	13	5	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	22	21	11	5	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	18	12	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	17	11	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	11	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	23	14	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	13	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	19	12	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	22	13	4	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	25	14	4	7	—	NAICS2012
2014	27	25	14	5	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	13	5	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	24	14	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	25	14	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	25	14	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	24	12	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	19	10	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	24	14	5	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	25	13	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03755. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03750	2.4 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.