BMIE Market 03860

Carroll County, New Hampshire · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±674 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,056 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,259 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,759 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,275 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	59.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$401,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±100,457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03860
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	133.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	58 (range 54–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03860. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Hampshire and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 183, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.4	54	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.4	39	35%	+13.8
Market Momentum Score	44.4	44	25%	+11.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,693	56	40%	+22.3
Median household income (ACS)	71,759	50	40%	+20.0
Households (ACS)	1,964	61	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.7	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	151.6	3	25%	+0.7
Population (ACS)	3,693	56	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,759	50	20%	+10.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	5.7	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

American 27 · Coffee 15 · Bakery 13 · Dessert 13 · Italian 8 · Pizza 8 · Burgers 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Asian 5 · Breakfast 4 · Mexican 4 · British / Irish pub food 3 · Chinese 3 · BBQ 2 · Indian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Bar 30 · Casual dining 17 · Dessert 16 · Bakery 15 · Café 13 · Quick service 13 · Coffee shop 10 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
110 Grill 110 Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1858 White Mountain Hwy	open
27 North	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2760 White Mountain Hwy	open
99 Restaurants	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · British / Irish pub food	1920 White Mountain Hwy	open
A Taste of Thai Restaurant LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2190 White Mountain Hwy	open
Abenaki Trail Restaurant & Pub	Bar	American	2284 White Mountain Hwy	open
Amato's Xpress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1500 White Mountain Hwy	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2 Common Ct	open
Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	28 Shaws Way	open
Bagels Plus	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	2988 White Mountain Hwy	open
Bangkok Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2729 White Mountain Hwy	open
Barley & Salt, Tap House and Kitchen	Bar · Casual dining	Spanish / tapas	1699 White Mountain Hwy	open
Bavarian Chocolate Haus	Dessert	Dessert	2483 White Mountain Hwy	open
Beef & Ski	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		2633 White Mountain Hwy	open
Ben & Jerry’s	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	26 Norcross Cir	open
Bento Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	32 Mountain Valley Blvd	open
Big Dave's Bagels & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1130 Eastman Rd	open
Black Cap Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	1498 White Mountain Hwy	open
Blueberry Muffin North Conway	Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	1769 White Mountain Hwy	open
Boston Brothers Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2718 White Mountain Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1205 Eastman Road	open
Cafe Italia	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2627 White Mountain Hwy	open
Cathedral Ledge Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3340 White Mountain Hwy	open
Cheese Louise Settlers Green Cheese Louise	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Sandwiches	2 Common Ct	open
Chef's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2724 White Mountain Hwy	open
China Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2025 White Mountain Hwy	open
China Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1549 White Mountain Hwy	open
Cigar Shenanigans	Bar		1903 White Mountain Hwy	open
Craft NoCo	Bar		3 Reporter Ct	open
Cream Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2516 White Mountain Hwy	open
Cresh's Italian Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2190 White Mountain Highway	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1833 White Mountain Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1561 White Mountain Hwy	open
Deacon Street	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse	32 Seavey St	open
Delaney's Hole in the Wall Delaney's Hole in the Wall	Bar		2966 White Mountain Hwy	open
Delectables By Danette	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	64 Kearsarge Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1976 White Mountain Hwy	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2101 White Mountain Hwy	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	46 North South Rd Walmart	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1946 White Mountain Hwy	open
Elvio's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2888 White Mountain Hwy	open
Fiesta Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6 Mountain Valley Blvd	open
Fire by Wicked Fresh	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	2 Common Ct Pl	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1623 White Mountain Hwy	open
Flatbread Company Flatbread Company Providence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2952 White Mountain Hwy	open
Freshies Acai	Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	14 Kearsarge Rd	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	1657 White Mountain Hwy	open
Frontside Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2697 Main St	open
Furlong Chalet	Bar			open
Haveli Indian cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1857 White Mountain Hwy	open
Hooligans Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21 Kearsarge St	open
Horsefeathers Horsefeathers	Bar · Casual dining	American	2679 White Mountain Hwy	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1584 White Mountain Hwy	open
Ledges Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2560 W Side Rd White Mountain Hotel	open
Ledges Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chinese	2660 W Side Rd	open
Lickety Splitz Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2252 White Mountain Hwy	open
Lindt Chocolate Shop Lindt	Dessert	Dessert	13 Settlers Green Dr	open
Lobster Trap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2840 West Side Rd	open
Lobster Trap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	284 E Side Dr	open
Luchador Tacos Luchador Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1833 White Mountain Hwy	open
Luke's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	3425 White Mountain Highway	open
Mae Kellys Irish Pub Conway NH	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	White Mountain Hwy	open
Mario's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1903 White Mountain Hwy	open
May Kelly's Cottage	Bar	British / Irish pub food	3002 White Mountain Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1750 White Mountain Hwy	open
McGrath's Tavern	Bar		3465 White Mountain Hwy	open
McKaella's Sweet Shop	Bakery	Bakery	64 Kearsarge St	open
Meister Hut at Cranmore Mountain	Bar		239 Skimobile Rd	open
Meister Hut at Cranmore Mountain	Bar	American	239 Skimobile Rd	open
Merlino's Family Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1717 White Mountain Hwy	open
Moat Mountain Smokehouse & Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3378 White Mountain Hwy	open
Mountain Moose	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho	2 Common Ct Ste A28	open
Mountainside Tavern & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		72 Common Ct	open
Mt. Washington Snowballs	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	24 Reporter Ct	open
Muddy Moose Restaurant & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	2344 White Mountain Hwy	open
Mystic Sugar Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	28 Norcross Cir	open
Old Village Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	50 Seavey St	open
Palmers at Red Jacket Mountain View Resort	Bar			open
Palmers Red Ridge Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar	American	2251 White Mountain Hwy	open
Peach's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2506 White Mountain Hwy	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1896 White Mountain Hwy	open
Priscilla's	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	2541 White Mountain Hwy	open
Rise and Dine Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	27 Seavey St	open
Saco River Brewing Taphaus	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		2686 S Main St Ste 3	open
Sap House Meadery NoCo	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2686 White Mountain Hwy Ste 2	open
Sea Dog Brewing Company Sea Dog Bangor	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1976 White Mountain Hwy #9	open
Shalimar of India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	2197 White Mountain Hwy	open
Sip and Sweets	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	2 Common Ct Unit D52	open
Stairway Cafe	Café	Coffee	2649 White Mountain Hwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1466 White Mountain Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1500 White Mountain Hwy	open
Table + Tonic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3358 White Mountain Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1672 White Mountain Hwy	open
Thai Nakonping Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2115 White Mountain Hwy	open
The Ledgeview Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	76 Norcross Cir	open
The Met	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2680 Main St	open
The Met Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2 Common Ct	open
The Nest Noco	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	2649 White Mountain Hwy	open
The Original Cigar & Bar	Bar		3425 White Mountain Hwy	open
The Viewpoint Rooftop Eatery + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3599 White Mountain Hwy	open
Trails End Ice Cream Shop - Streetside	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1699 White Mountain Hwy	open
Tricks And Treats	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2050 White Mountain Hwy	open
Underground Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	1976 White Mountain Hwy	open
Via Roma Pizza and Mediterranean	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mediterranean · Italian	2076 White Mountain Hwy	open
Vito Marcello's Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	45 Seavey St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	46 N South Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service		1465 White Mountain Hwy	open
White Mountain Cupcakery	Bakery	Bakery	2 Common Ct	open
White Mountain Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2724 White Mountain Hwy	open
Wicked Fresh Craft Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	19 Barnes Rd	open
Wicked Fresh Fried Chicken	Food truck		19 Barnes Ct	open
zips pub	Bar · Casual dining		239 Skimobile Rd	open
Zebs General Store, Inc.-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2675 White Mountain Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	43	43	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	36	36	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	39	39	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	43	41	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	43	41	28	9	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	44	42	28	11	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	48	47	33	12	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	41	41	29	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	48	48	34	9	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	49	49	34	7	8	—	NAICS2002
2004	53	53	37	6	10	—	NAICS2002
2005	50	50	36	7	7	—	NAICS2002
2006	51	51	36	8	7	—	NAICS2002
2007	60	60	39	11	10	—	NAICS2002
2008	56	55	37	9	9	—	NAICS2007
2009	58	58	39	9	10	—	NAICS2007
2010	54	54	34	10	10	—	NAICS2007
2011	51	50	34	7	9	—	NAICS2007
2012	54	53	33	10	10	—	NAICS2012
2013	54	53	33	10	10	—	NAICS2012
2014	56	55	35	10	10	—	NAICS2012
2015	56	55	34	11	10	—	NAICS2012
2016	52	51	33	10	8	—	NAICS2012
2017	56	55	35	11	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	56	36	10	10	—	NAICS2017
2019	59	57	37	11	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	58	56	36	10	10	—	NAICS2017
2021	55	53	32	11	10	—	NAICS2017
2022	60	58	33	13	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	56	31	14	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03860. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03847	2.1 mi	1	2016
03845	4.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.