BMIE Market 03907

York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	666 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,033 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$114,259 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	62.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$875,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78,627 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03907
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	469.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-1.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+8.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+27.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	57 (range 52–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03907. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.8	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.1	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	38.9	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,379	38	40%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	114,259	88	40%	+35.3
Households (ACS)	666	42	20%	+8.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.6	62	35%	+21.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	369.8	1	25%	+0.2
Population (ACS)	1,379	38	20%	+7.6
Median household income (ACS)	114,259	88	20%	+17.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-1.9	25	50%	+12.6
10-year restaurant growth	18.6	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	8.5	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (92)

By cuisine

American 30 · Seafood 17 · Coffee 16 · Pizza 8 · Breakfast 6 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Italian 5 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Bar 25 · Casual dining 19 · Café 15 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbott's Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	237 Main St	open
Adria Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		355 Main St	open
Amore Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	309 Shore Rd	open
Angelina's Ristorante & Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	655 Main St	open
Ayla's Sweet Wonder	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	95 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Azul Agave Ogunquit	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 Main St	open
Backyard Coffee & Eatery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	178 Main St	open
Bandito's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	68 Shore Rd	open
Bar Harbor Cheesecake Company - Ogunquit- Main Street Bar Harbor Cheesecake Company	Dessert	Dessert	166 Main St	open
barnicle billys etc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	Perkins Cv	open
Beach Basket	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 Shore Rd	open
BeachFire Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		658 Main St	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	238 Main St	open
Bessie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8 Shore Rd	open
Big Daddy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	478 Main St	open
Bintliffs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	335 Main St	open
Black Boar Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	277 Main St	open
Black Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	259 Main St	open
Blue Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	62 Beachmere Pl	open
Bonissoni Brazilian Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other)	82 Shore Rd	open
Bread & Roses Bakery	Café	Coffee	246 Main St	open
Bread and Roses Bakery & Beanery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	47 Shore Rd	open
Brickyard Hollow Brewing Company Brickyard Hollow Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	335 Main St	open
Brix + Brine	Bar	Seafood · American	49 Shore Rd	open
Bug and Brown	Café	Coffee	239 Shore Rd	open
Caffe Prego	Café	Italian · Pizza · Coffee	44 Shore Rd	open
Cammarota Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Shore Rd	open
Coastal Alchemist Corks & Cocktails	Bar	American	14 Village Square Ln	open
Compass Rose Coffee & Creamery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	31 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Cornerstone Artisanal Pizza & Craft Beer	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	228 Main St	open
Cove Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	20 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Five-O Shore Road	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	50 Shore Rd	open
Food for Thought	Bar		414 Main St	open
Footbridge Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	108 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Fresh Ogunquit	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Coffee · Pizza	173 Main Street	open
Giri Ogunquit 719 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		719 Main St	open
Graze + Vine	Bar		30 Shore Rd	open
Harbor Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	248 Main St	open
Hooks Chill & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		696 Main St	open
Jackie's Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	91 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Jonathan's Ogunquit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	92 Bourne Ln	open
La Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	239 Main St	open
Lady of the Vine	Bar		239 Shore Rd	open
Loveshack Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	68 Shore Rd	open
M.C. Perkins Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	111 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Maine Street	Bar		195 Main St	open
Mornings in Paris	Café	Coffee · French · Breakfast	246 Main St	open
Nikanos Mediterranean Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · Greek	173 Main St	open
Northern Union	Bar		261 Shore Rd	open
Oarweed Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	65 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Ogunquit Beach Lobster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	111 Beach St	open
Ogunquit House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	103 Main St	open
Ogunquit Lobster Pound Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	504 Main St	open
Patio 03907	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		252 Main St	open
Pepper's Seafood Company Pepper’s Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	243 Main St	open
Perkins Cove Candies	Dessert	Dessert	103 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Perkins Cove Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	312 Shore Rd	open
Prime Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	331 Shore Rd	open
Provision ME	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	756 Main St	open
Raspberri's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	449 Main St	open
Roberto's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	200 Shore Rd	open
Rococo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	259 Main St	open
Ronnie E's	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Seafood	355 Main St	open
Roost Cafe Bistro	Café	Coffee	262 Shore Rd	open
Rose Cove Cafe	Café	Seafood · Coffee · American	221 Main St	open
S.W. Swan Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 Shore Rd	open
Smith Fernstrom Enterprises Llc Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		422 Main St	open
Smokey B's Gin Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	422 Main St # 432	open
So Zap	Bar	Thai · Asian	185 Main St	open
Splash Restaurant Ogunquit Beach	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		135 Beach St	open
Steak House Wells,Me	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Steakhouse		open
Surf Point 360	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	125 Shore Rd	open
Sweet Pea's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	37 Shore Rd	open
The Crooked Pine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American · Spanish / tapas	30 Shore Rd	open
The Egg and I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	501 Main St	open
The Front Porch Piano Bar & Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar		9 Shore Rd	open
The Front Yard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean	355 Main St	open
The Greenery Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	369 Main St	open
The Helm	Bar		95 Main St	open
The Lobster Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	110 Perkins Cove Rd	open
The Maine Catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	262 Shore Rd	open
The Napoli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	667 Main St	open
The Omelette Factory	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	422 Main St	open
The Sassy Olive	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	254 Main St	open
The Tea Space	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	254 Main St	open
The Trap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	117 Perkins Cove Rd	open
Treehouse Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	237 Main St	open
Vinny's East Coast Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	696 Main St	open
West Meadow Pub	Bar · Casual dining		74 Main St	open
Wild Blueberry Cafe And Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	82 Shore Rd	open
Julie's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		369 Main St	closed
Ogunquit House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	731 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	42	40	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	41	39	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	42	40	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	45	43	32	7	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	44	42	31	7	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	42	40	30	6	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	42	40	33	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	45	43	34	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	49	47	38	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	49	46	37	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	47	45	39	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	45	43	38	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	41	41	36	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	45	44	39	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	44	43	36	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	44	42	35	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	43	42	36	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	47	45	35	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	45	43	33	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	43	41	33	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	47	45	37	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	47	45	36	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	52	51	41	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	53	52	40	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	50	49	39	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	50	49	39	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	53	51	41	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	53	50	39	8	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	55	51	40	8	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03907. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03902	3.0 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.