BMIE Market 04009

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,478 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,365 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,151 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,025 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,399 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$317,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,862 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04009
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	38.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-29.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-22.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 8–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.2	61	40%	+24.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.5	33	35%	+11.7
Market Momentum Score	13.9	14	25%	+3.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,478	62	40%	+24.8
Median household income (ACS)	78,021	59	40%	+23.8
Households (ACS)	2,365	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-22.7	13	35%	+4.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	31.0	19	25%	+4.7
Population (ACS)	5,478	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	78,021	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-29.2	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	-22.7	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 9 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 5 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A La Mexicana 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	243 Portland Rd	open
Amato’s – Bridgton, ME Amato's	Quick service		443 Portland Rd	open
Ancora Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	18 Depot St	open
Baked by Lizzie	Bakery	Bakery	21 Smith Ave	open
Baked with Love	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	261 Main St	open
Bar Kosho	Bar	Japanese · Asian	1382 N High St	open
Barrelhouse Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1270 N High St	open
Bavarian Chocolate Haus	Dessert	Dessert	2 Cottage St	open
Bear Bones Beer	Brewery / taproom		2 Cottage St	open
Beth's Kitchen Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	108 Main St	open
Bhop & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	256 Main St	open
Big Dog Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		656 N High St	open
Blizzards Pub	Bar		119 Mountain Rd	open
Cafe Paprika	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Coffee	146 Harrison Rd	open
Campfire Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		656 N High St	open
Campfire Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	518 Portland Rd	open
Chao Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	112 Main St	open
Chesters Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Chicken / wings	93 Main St	open
Depot Street Tap House Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18B Depot St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	181 Portland Road	open
Elevation Sushi and Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Mexican	103 Main St	open
L&p Enterprises, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		257 Main St	open
La caprichosa dulce y helados	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	calle Joaquín reina	open
Mack's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	224 Portland Rd	open
Maine Morning Micro Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4 Nulty St	open
Maine Street Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	187 Main St	open
Mainly Melts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	257 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5 Lumberyard Drive	open
Mciver Electrical Contracting	Restaurant (service type not stated)		221 Portland Rd	open
Morning Glory Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	78 Portland Rd	open
Nilfa's Kusina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	160 Main St	open
Nora Belle's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2 Cottage St	open
Pondicherry House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	2 Cottage St	open
Queen's Head Pub	Bar · Casual dining		271 Main St	open
Ricky's Diner	Casual dining	American	2-4 Depot St	open
Ruby Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	160 Main St	open
Sail Away Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	151 Portland Rd	open
Sammy's Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	187 Main St	open
Standard Gastropub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	233 Main St	open
Stella Blues Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	55 Heathersfield Dr	open
Stella's on the Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6 N High St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	292 Main St	open
The Big Kahuna Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	142 Main St	open
The Black Horse Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		26 Portland Rd	open
The Cann Family Bakery and Specialty Foods	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	320 Portland Rd	open
The Gazebo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	56 Portland Rd	open
Towanda's Specialty Foods & Deli	Café	Coffee	103 Main St	open
Trailside Lobster Pound	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	25 Home Run Rd	open
Union Station Billiards	Bar		36 Sanborns Grove Rd	open
Vivo Country Italian Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	18 Depot St	open
Web's Tavern	Bar	American	9 Depot St	open
Wolfie's	Casual dining · Food truck	American	295 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	13	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	9	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	8	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	10	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	20	10	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	19	10	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	18	17	9	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	9	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	9	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	10	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	29	28	14	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	15	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	24	15	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	23	14	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	19	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	16	10	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	17	11	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04009. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04057	3.9 mi	1	1997
04022	5.0 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.