BMIE Market 04032

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,802 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±257 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,879 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,690 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,439 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$508,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04032
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	43.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+47.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+142.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 25–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04032. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.6	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.1	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	30.5	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,802	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	107,326	85	40%	+34.1
Households (ACS)	3,765	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.1	19	35%	+6.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	38.6	14	25%	+3.5
Population (ACS)	8,802	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	107,326	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.9	25	50%	+12.3
10-year restaurant growth	-8.1	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	47.8	62	20%	+12.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (82)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 14 · Dessert 9 · Seafood 9 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 14 · Dessert 11 · Café 10 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Quick service 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1912 Cafe	Café	Coffee	95 Main St	open
Aki Sushi Tapas Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Japanese · Tea / bubble tea · Sushi	10 School St	open
Altar'd State Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	40 Main St	open
Amatos Of Freeport	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 Main St	open
Antonia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	193 Lower Main St	open
Athena's Cantina & Oasis Dessert Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	491 US-1	open
Azure Cafe - A Taste of Italy on the Coast of Maine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	123 Main St	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1 Freeport Village Station	open
Bessie's Farm Goods	Bakery	Bakery	2 Grace Ln	open
Brickyard Hollow Brewing Company Brickyard Hollow Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	20 Bow St	open
Broad Arrow Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	162 Main St	open
Buck's Naked BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	132 US-1	open
Buck's Naked BBQ & Studio Bar	Bar · Casual dining	BBQ	568 US-1	open
China Rose Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	23 Main St 2nd floor	open
Cindy's Lobster Rolls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	292 US-1	open
Classic Custard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	150 US Route 1	open
Conundrum Wine Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Vin Mar Ln	open
Derosier's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	120 Main St	open
Dimillos	Quick service		423 US Route 1	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	8 School St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	200 Lower Main St Freeport Crossing	open
Freeport Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	29 US-1	open
Freeport Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	32 Main St Ste 11	open
Freeport Oyster Bar	Bar	Seafood	43 Main St	open
Freeport Seafood Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	175 Lower Main St	open
Goodfire Tasting Room and Kitchen	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	180 S Freeport Rd	open
Ground Round Ind Owners Cooperative Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Main St Ste 210	open
Han Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Main St	open
Harraseeket Lunch and Lobster Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	36 Main St	open
Isabella's Cafe & Bakery	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	2 School St	open
Jacqueline's Tea Room	Coffee shop	Coffee	201 Main St	open
Jameson Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 Main St	open
Jeffs Jamaican Cuisine Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 Bow St	open
Johnny Rockets	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American · Sandwiches	1 Freeport Village Sta	open
Li's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	51 West St	open
Lily’s Food Cart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	49 Main St	open
Linda Bean's Maine Kitchen and Topside Tavern Linda Bean's Perfect Maine	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	88 Main St	open
Lindt Lindt	Dessert	Dessert	1 Freeport Farm	open
Lindt Chocolate Shop	Dessert	Dessert	15 Main St	open
Lobster Cooker	Bar	Seafood	39 Main St	open
Lobster Roll At L.l. Bean Freeport, Me	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	57 Main St	open
MADE mercantile & cafe	Café	Coffee	33 Main St	open
Main Street Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	32 Main St	open
Maine Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		525 US-1	open
Maine Craft Distilling Public House	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		7 Mill St	open
Maine Distilleries	Winery / distillery / taproom		437 US-1	open
MaineFlavor	Dessert · Catering · Café	Coffee	57 Desert Rd	open
Mainely Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	150 US-1	open
Mangy Moose	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	112 Main St	open
Mast Landing Brewing Company - Freeport Taproom Mast Landing Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		200 Lower Main St	open
Mbla, Inc.-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		457 US Route 1	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11 Mallet Dr	open
Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	10 School St	open
Met Coffee House & Fine Art Gallery	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	48 Main St	open
Mom's Organic Munchies Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		174 Lower Main St	open
Nighthawk's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	200 Lower Main St	open
Old World Gourmet	Café	Coffee	117 US Route 1	open
Petrillo Food Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Depot St	open
Porter Kitchen + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	162 Main St	open
Poussard’s Pool & Bar	Bar		54 Adams Way	open
Sam's Italian Foods	Other	Sandwiches	7 Main St	open
Smoke This Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		568 US Route 1	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	49 Main St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	138 Main Street	open
Sunrise Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	475 US-1	open
Taiguo-2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		97 S Freeport Rd	open
Thai Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	491 State Rte 1 Ste 12 Ste 12	open
The Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast · American	123 Main St	open
The Maine Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	162 Main St	open
The Millbrook Tavern & Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	162 Main St	open
Tuscan Brick Oven Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	140 Main St	open
Wanderlust Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	4 Mechanic St	open
What The Actual Fudge	Dessert	Dessert	7 Mill St	open
When Pigs Fly Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	21 Main St	open
Wicked Whoopies Wicked Whoopies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	100 Main St	open
Wilbur's Candy Shoppe Wilbur's of Maine Chocolate Confections	Dessert	Dessert	13 Bow St	open
Wilbur's Of Maine Chocolate Confections	Dessert	Dessert	174 Lower Main St	open
Zephyr Maine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Pleasant Hill Rd	open
ZesTea	Coffee shop	Coffee · American	32 Main St	open
Cranberry Island Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	174 Lower Main St	closed
Gritty Mcduff's Brew Pub	Brewery / taproom		187 Lower Main St	closed
Stars & Stripes Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		8 Varney Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	31	28	15	8	5	1	NAICS1997
1999	25	23	14	6	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	21	20	10	7	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	10	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	29	26	15	6	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	25	23	14	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	24	24	15	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	25	25	17	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	27	27	16	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	18	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	33	30	16	10	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	36	33	18	11	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	38	34	17	12	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	40	35	17	11	7	1	NAICS2007
2012	37	34	15	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	40	37	17	13	7	—	NAICS2012
2014	39	36	16	14	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	43	39	19	14	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	42	37	21	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	39	35	19	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	35	19	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	32	16	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	31	14	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	31	13	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	37	33	14	15	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	34	15	16	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04032. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.