BMIE Market 04038

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,381 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,972 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,312 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$460,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,712 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04038
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+47.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 17–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04038. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.7	83	40%	+33.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.7	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	82.0	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,300	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	112,312	88	40%	+35.0
Households (ACS)	6,636	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	47.1	79	35%	+27.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.7	58	25%	+14.4
Population (ACS)	18,300	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	112,312	88	20%	+17.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.9	87	50%	+43.6
10-year restaurant growth	47.1	79	30%	+23.8
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
390 Main Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	390 Main St	open
91 South	Restaurant (service type not stated)		91 South St	open
Amato's Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3 Main St	open
Angelo's Pizza of Gorham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	474 ME-25	open
Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	109 Main St	open
Azul Tequila	Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	29 School St	open
Beal's Old Fashioned Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	585 Main St	open
Blend It	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	8 Main St	open
Brian's BBQ Grill	Catering · Food truck	BBQ	587 Ossipee Trl	open
Brooks Dining Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37 College Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	102 Main Street	open
Cielo Sauce Works Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	30 Harding Rd	open
Community Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Main St	open
Crider's Creations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	14 Union St	open
Curbside Comforts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	680 Gray Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	621 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	593 Lower Main St	open
Gorham House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2 State St	open
H.a.m. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 New Portland Rd	open
Ham Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 New Portland Rd	open
iSpoon	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	102 Main St Unit 6	open
Jan Me II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	14 School St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	601 Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	435 Ossipee	open
Lone Pine Gorham Lone Pine Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		48 Sanford Dr	open
Lucky Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	25 Elm St	open
Lucky Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	593 Main St	open
Michael Plourde Piano Tuning	Bar			open
MK Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	2 School St	open
MoMunch Granola	Bakery	Bakery	9 Lombard St	open
Mr Bagel Mister Bagel Gorham Maine	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	13 New Portland Rd	open
Otto OTTO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	109 Main St	open
Saito Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Chinese · Asian	14 School St	open
School Street Pub & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29 School St	open
Schwan's Sales Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Bartlett Rd	open
Sebago Brewery & Tasting Room Sebago Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		616 Main Street	open
Sebago Brewing Company Brewpub Sebago Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		29 Elm St	open
Sidecar Pub	Bar		7 Railroad Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	109 Main St Unit B	open
Sullivan House Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	102 Main St	open
Sunflower Community Playspace & Cafe	Café	Coffee	3 Gorham Industrial Pkwy	open
Sunrise Corner	Dessert	Dessert	16 Mechanic St	open
Sweet Life Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	680 Gray Rd	open
Sweet Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	18 Elm St	open
Thatcher's Pub	Bar		29 School St	open
The Blue Pig Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	19 State St	open
The Gorham Grind	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18 South St	open
The Lockman Place Sugar House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	274 N Gorham Rd	open
The Towpath	Bar		Towpath rd	open
Ispoon Frozen Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	102 Main St	closed
Pizzaria And Restaurant Angelo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		474 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	20	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	2	8	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	15	3	7	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	15	3	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	3	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	2	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	5	7	6	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	3	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	4	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	6	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	4	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	7	10	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	20	6	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	17	6	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	6	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	21	8	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	7	8	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	25	8	11	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04038. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.