BMIE Market 04039

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,478 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,422 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,525 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,008 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,371 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$357,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04039
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04039. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.9	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.6	55	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	51.6	52	25%	+12.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,102	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	95,125	78	40%	+31.0
Households (ACS)	3,478	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.8	53	25%	+13.3
Population (ACS)	8,102	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	95,125	78	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AllerGeena Gluten Free Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery	34 Woodcock Road	open
AllerGeena Gluten Free Baked Goods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34 Woodcock Rd	open
Aroma Joe’s coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6 Brown St	open
B & R Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19 Portland Rd	open
Birchwood Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		19 Portland Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	Mile 57 Service Road	open
China Gray	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13 Main St	open
China Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	271 Shaker Rd	open
Cole Farms Restaurant & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		64 Lewiston Rd	open
Craft Curbside	Restaurant (service type not stated)		81A W Gray Rd	open
Dickinson Enterprises Corporat	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 Portland Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	3 Shaker Rd	open
Dutton Hill Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 Dutton Hill	open
Fishermen's Net	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	59 Portland Rd	open
Focused Nutrition Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Main St	open
Goody's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7 Main St	open
Jess 'n Nic's Pizzeria & Pub	Bar · Casual dining		21 Portland Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		12 Main St	open
Libby Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Lonnie Dogs	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	Main St	open
Loose Moose Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 Portland Rd	open
Manee Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	11 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8 Main St	open
Shadtown Splashtown	Bar		92 Mayberry Rd	open
Spring Meadows Pub	Bar		59 Lewiston Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	19 Main Street	open
Tailgate Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		61 Portland Rd	open
The Frisky Whisk	Bakery	Bakery	81 W Gray Rd	open
The Good Ship	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	381 Ramsdell Rd	open
The Hop Shop	Brewery / taproom		59 Portland Rd	open
The Sweet Spot	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	59 Portland Rd	open
Tracie’s Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Two Mums Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	—	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04039. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.