BMIE Market 04043

York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,820 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,810 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$487,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04043
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+46.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+52.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 33–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04043. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	79	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.3	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	63.9	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,820	73	40%	+29.3
Median household income (ACS)	107,804	85	40%	+34.2
Households (ACS)	5,364	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.7	69	35%	+24.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	32.2	18	25%	+4.5
Population (ACS)	11,820	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	107,804	85	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.6	62	50%	+31.0
10-year restaurant growth	26.7	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	46.2	61	20%	+12.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (89)

By cuisine

American 21 · Coffee 13 · Seafood 9 · Bakery 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 15 · Bakery 10 · Café 9 · Dessert 9 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 7 · Food truck 5 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
50 Local	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	50 Main St	open
Academe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	45 Main St	open
Al & Associates, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 York St	open
Amato's Amato's	Other	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	48 Portland Rd	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	76 Portland Rd	open
Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Maine Turnpike South, Mile Marker 25	open
Auntie Anne's Pretzels Maine Turnpike Kennebunk South Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Bakery	Maine Turnpike, Mile Marker 25	open
Auntie's House Bakery and Chocolatier	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	155 Port Rd	open
Bar Harbor Cheesecake Company Bar Harbor Cheesecake Company	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	13 Western Ave	open
Bartley's Dockside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4 Western Ave Frnt STATEROAD	open
Batson River Brewing & Distilling - Kennebunk	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12 Western Ave	open
Bennett's Sandwich Shop	Other	Sandwiches	200 Sea Rd	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	65 Portland Rd Ste 9	open
Berryd Treasures	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	22 Main St	open
Bev's Cafe and Market	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	41 Main St	open
Boulangerie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5 Nasons Ct Suite 12	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	60 Alewive Rd	open
Burger King	Quick service		Maine Tpke	open
Cheryl's Sandwich Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · American	54 York St	open
Coffee Roasters of the Kennebunks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	163 Port Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service		1 York St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	45 Portland Rd	open
Duffy's Tavern & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	4 Main St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	MM 24 Maine Turnpike Southbound	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	45 Portland Rd (US Rt 1)	open
Federal Jack's	Casual dining · Bar	American	8 Western Ave	open
Grissini Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	27 Western Ave	open
Honey Maker Mead Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		8 Western Ave	open
Hot Digity Dog	Food truck	Hot dogs · American	6 York St	open
J & D Frozen Treats Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 York St	open
Jia Mei Le Wah Chinese Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	60 Portland Rd	open
Jsk Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Western Ave	open
Kennebunk House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5 York St	open
Kennebunk Rice & Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	8 York St	open
Kennebunkport Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	8 Western Ave #6	open
KPort Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	2 Morning Walk Ln Cottage 7	open
Let Them Eat Cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Lockwood Dr	open
Live Cafe	Café	Coffee	169 Port Rd	open
Live Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	169 Port Rd	open
Lucky Dog Tasting Room, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Livewell Dr Ste 201	open
Lucky Star Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Thai · Asian	45 Portland Rd	open
Majestic 60	Coffee shop	Coffee	1837 Nelson Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2 Post Office Square	open
Mekhong Thai Kennebunk	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	37 Western Ave	open
Mike's All Day Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	55 Western Ave	open
Modern Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		50 Main St	open
Mornings In Paris	Café	Coffee · French · Breakfast	21 Western Ave	open
Ocean Roll	Food truck	Seafood · American	70 Portland Rd	open
On The Marsh	Restaurant (service type not stated)		46 Western Ave	open
Pearl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	27 Western Ave	open
Pedro's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	181 Port Rd	open
Perfecto's Cafe	Café	Coffee	41 Main St	open
Pinsa Kennebunk	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Italian	180 Port Rd	open
Piscatrix Seafood Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	10 Storer St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	Mile Marker 24 North	open
Rococo Ice Cream (Scoop Shop)	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	8 Western Ave	open
Rosella KPT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Seafood	1 Chase Hill Rd	open
Ryan's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		17 Western Ave	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Quick service		MAINE TURNPIKE SOUTH MILE 25 SOUTH	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	MAINE TURNPIKE SOUTH, Mile 25 S	open
Sea Dog Brewpub Camden Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Western Ave	open
Sea Salt & Smoke	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		166 Port Rd	open
Sebago Brewing Company Brewpub	Brewery / taproom		65 Portland Rd	open
Seven High	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Sandwiches · Coffee · Bakery	7 High St	open
Shipyard Brew Pub 1 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Western Ave	open
Sierra & Hayley Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		169 Port Rd Ste 23	open
Smoke BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	58 York St	open
Squaretoe's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	30 York St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	24 Maine Trnpike Northbound Exit (Main, E Turnpike Kennebunk North)	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	45 Portland Rd	open
Table of Seven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	106 York St	open
Talulas	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2 Morning Walk Ln Cottage 7	open
Texas Grace Kitchen LL	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	464 Cat Mousam Rd	open
The Blue	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	84 Main St	open
The Clam Shack	Food truck	Seafood · American	2 Western Ave	open
The Landing Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	157 Summer St	open
The Lunch Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	113 Alfred Rd	open
The Pilot House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	4 Western Ave	open
The Spirit Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4 Western Ave	open
The Sugar Shack	Dessert	Dessert	17 Western Ave	open
Toppings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8 York St	open
Toroso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	149 Port Rd	open
Us Hotels Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37 Beach Ave	open
Via Sophia by the Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	27 Western Ave	open
Village Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	110 Alfred Rd	open
Wandby Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	46 Western Ave	open
What A Wrap	Quick service · Specialty food shop	American · Sandwiches	51 Main St	open
Wine House on Main	Bar		17 Main St	open
Old Vines Kennebunk	Restaurant (service type not stated)		173 Port Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	29	27	13	13	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	30	28	14	13	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	26	23	11	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	28	25	14	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	30	28	14	13	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	27	26	13	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	30	28	14	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	29	26	13	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	27	23	12	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	14	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	27	14	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	26	14	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	34	30	15	11	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	35	31	17	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	37	32	18	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	34	30	17	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	38	33	20	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	39	33	20	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	40	35	22	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	45	39	21	11	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	42	36	19	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	46	39	17	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	34	16	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	37	31	15	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	39	35	18	10	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	41	38	19	11	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04043. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.