BMIE Market 04055

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,793 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,717 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±625 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$340,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04055
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+38.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+125.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04055. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.8	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.9	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	74.8	75	25%	+18.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,985	57	40%	+22.7
Median household income (ACS)	78,188	60	40%	+23.9
Households (ACS)	2,021	61	20%	+12.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	45.2	11	25%	+2.8
Population (ACS)	3,985	57	20%	+11.4
Median household income (ACS)	78,188	60	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	38.5	58	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 7 · Italian 4 · Seafood 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annette's Country Skillet Diner	Casual dining	American	12 Lakes Plaza Dr	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	12 Lakes Plaza Dr	open
Beacon Bar & Bistro	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	828 Roosevelt Trail	open
Brays Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		678 Roosevelt Trl	open
BrotherFleckers Bar and Food	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	907 Roosevelt Trail	open
Buffet-ps	Buffet		فلسطين	open
Candy on the Causeway	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	852 Roosevelt Trl	open
Captain Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	34 Naples Marina Ln	open
Chianti	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	215 Roosevelt Trail	open
Dose Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	852 Roosevelt Trail	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	377 Roosevelt Trl	open
Freedom Cafe & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	923 Roosevelt Trail	open
Gary's Olde Towne Tavern	Bar		678 Roosevelt Trl	open
Gary's Olde Towne Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	678 Roosevelt Trail	open
Heroes Cafe and Pizzeria	Café	Italian · Pizza · Coffee	1124 Roosevelt Trl	open
Honey Cone Icecream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	852 Roosevelt Trl	open
Lakes Region Farm	Bakery	Bakery	40 Horace Files Rd	open
Lakeside Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	933 Roosevelt Trail	open
Lotus Garden	Quick service		828 Roosevelt Trl	open
Nancy's Sports Pub & Grill	Bar		1124 Roosevelt Trl	open
Naples Pizza + Dugout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1124 Roosevelt Drive	open
Nico's Italian Ice And Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	852 Roosevelt Trl Unit 4	open
Randy's Wooster Street Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	770 Roosevelt Trail	open
Rick's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	852 Roosevelt Trail	open
Sebagel	Bakery	Bakery	679 Roosevelt Trail	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	Route 302, Unit 2	open
The Galley Restaurant & Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	327 Roosevelt Trl	open
The Lazy Loon Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Burgers	41 Loons Haven Dr	open
The Naples Lobster Pound, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	171 Roosevelt Trl	open
TP's Top Dog	Quick service	Seafood · Hot dogs	841 Roosevelt Trl	open
Viola Restaurant & cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Café	Coffee	فلسطين نابلس	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	8	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	10	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	9	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	9	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	8	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	15	10	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	9	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	12	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	10	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	12	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	18	10	3	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04055. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.