BMIE Market 04071

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,669 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,722 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$965 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$414,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04071
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04071. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.3	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.0	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	70.0	70	25%	+17.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,971	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	88,722	72	40%	+28.8
Households (ACS)	2,129	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.1	49	25%	+12.2
Population (ACS)	4,971	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	88,722	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Dessert 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
302 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1235 Roosevelt Trail #18	open
A La Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1227 Roosevelt Trail	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1256 Roosevelt Trail	open
Board & Butcher Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		1233 Roosevelt Trail	open
Cafe Sebago	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1248 Roosevelt Trl	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1247 Roosevelt Trail	open
East Shore Tavern	Bar		1248 Roosevelt Trail	open
Fishermen's Catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1270 Roosevelt Trail	open
Frye's Leap Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	6 Sunset Rd	open
Jalisco, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1227 Roosevelt Trl	open
Montebello Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1227 Roosevelt Trl	open
Northern Scout Kitchen	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3 Raymond Cape Rd	open
Swift River Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1289 Roosevelt Trail	open
The Beacon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1233 Roosevelt Trail	open
Top Shelf Catering and Mobile Bar	Bar · Casual dining		1261 Roosevelt Trl	open
Village Donut Shop & Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1246 Roosevelt Trail	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	3	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	3	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	5	1	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	3	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	3	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	3	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	4	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	3	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	3	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	3	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04071. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04015	4.3 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.