BMIE Market 04072
York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,998 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,482 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,508 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $92,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,901 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,249 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $413,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 38.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04072 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -10.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +13.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 32–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04072. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.6 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.0 | 47 | 35% | +16.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.6 | 23 | 25% | +5.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,819 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,241 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,998 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -10.6 | 18 | 35% | +6.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.2 | 37 | 25% | +9.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,819 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,241 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 50% | +8.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -10.6 | 18 | 30% | +5.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 44 | 20% | +8.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
Coffee 17 · American 15 · Dessert 11 · Pizza 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Seafood 6 · Bakery 5 · Breakfast 5 · Italian 5 · Burgers 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Sushi 3 · Asian 2 · Caribbean 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Café 14 · Coffee shop 14 · Dessert 14 · Quick service 14 · Bar 11 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 north street grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 345 North St | open |
| A&z Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 96 Ocean Park Rd | open | |
| Amato's Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 469 Main St | open |
| Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1 Moody St | open |
| Aroma Joe’s Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 933 Portland Rd | open |
| Auto Mile Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 819 Portland Rd | open |
| Barreled Souls Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | Latin American (other) | 11 Mill Brook Rd | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 532 Main St | open |
| Bill's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 12 Old Orchard Rd | open |
| Bradley Street Deli & Catering | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Pizza | 152 Bradley St | open |
| Bread & Butter Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 754 Portland Rd | open |
| Catramex Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 27 Elm St | open |
| China House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 515 Main St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 507 Main St Ste 103 | open |
| Cousins Maine Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 660 Main St | open |
| Da Caribbean Flavors | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 225 Main St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 517 Main St 517 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 505 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 865 Portland Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Dessert · Asian | 4 Scammon St Shaw's Supermarket | open |
| El Tequila mexican restaurant Saco | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 512 Main St | open | |
| Faiths Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 977 Portland Rd | open |
| Felonious Coffee & Ya | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · American | 8 Pepperell Sq | open |
| Fernleaf Bakery and Coffee House | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 20 Free St | open |
| Finestkind | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 17 Pepperell Square | open |
| Fun Town Splashtown Beer Garden | Bar | 762 Portland Rd | open | |
| Garside's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 320 Ferry Rd | open |
| Go See TYCE BBQ, LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · BBQ | 810 Portland Rd | open |
| Golden Rooster Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 236 Main St | open |
| Good Wine Bar | Bar | 172 Main St | open | |
| Hl Maine 1 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 520 Main St | open | |
| Huot's Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 29 Eastern Avenue | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 515 Main St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 507 Main Street | open |
| Jin Sushi and Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 15 Pepperell Square | open |
| Kerrymen Pub | Bar | 512 Main St | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 491 Main St | open |
| Krispy Kreme | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 520 Main St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 96 Ocean Park Rd | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 532 Main St | open |
| Lobster Claw Pound & Rstrnt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 41 Ocean Park Rd | open |
| Lucky Loggers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4 Scamman St Ste 17 | open |
| Lucky Lou's Portland | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 749 Portland Rd | open | |
| Maine Needham Company | Dessert | 42 Industrial Park Rd Bldg 2 | open | |
| Martel's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 757 Portland Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 524 N Main | open |
| OTTO OTTO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 779 Portland Rd | open |
| Ozzys | Food truck | 885 Portland Rd | open | |
| Pacifico Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 120 Main St | open |
| Pine State Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 84 Industrial Park Rd | open |
| Pizza by Michael | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 12 Common St | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 507 Main St | open |
| Quiero Cafe LLC Quiero Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 8 Pepperell Sq | open |
| Rapid Ray's Rapid Ray's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 189 Main St | open |
| Ricetta's of Saco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 512 Main Street | open |
| Run of the Mill Public House and Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 100 Main St | open | |
| Saco Bay Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 319 Main St | open |
| Saco House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 163 Main St | open |
| Saco Maine Elks Club | Bar | 68 Ocean Park Rd | open | |
| Saco Manufacturing & Woodworking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 39 Lincoln St | open | |
| Saco Pancake Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 515 Main St | open | |
| Sea Salt Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 660 Main St | open |
| Sea Spray Confections | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 209 Main St Ste 103 | open |
| Social House Kitchen | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 9 Beach St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 509 Main St | open |
| Sugar Mama's Cafe and Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 209 Main St Ste 103 | open |
| Sweet Sunrise | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 15 Pepperell Sq | open |
| Sweets & Co. | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 294 Main St | open |
| Swell Nitro Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 200 Main St | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 515 Main St | open | |
| The Bistro at Camp Ellis | Coffee shop · Café | American · Coffee | 23 Main Ave | open |
| The Deli & Company | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Breakfast | 110 Main St | open |
| The New Moonlight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 17 Pepperell Sq | open |
| The Saco Scoop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 209 Main St #101 | open |
| Thibodeau's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 416 Buxton Rd | open |
| Townhouse Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 5 Storer St | open |
| Traditions Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Seafood | 162 Main St | open |
| Traditions Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 162 Main St | open | |
| Two Brothers Pizzeria And Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 213 North St | open |
| Up & Up Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 206 Main St | open | |
| Way Way Store | Dessert | Dessert | 93 Buxton Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 528 Main Street | open |
| Wicked Good Energy Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 345 North St | open | |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3 Waterfall Dr | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 535 Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 37 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 50 | 49 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 53 | 52 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 53 | 53 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 57 | 52 | 21 | 25 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 59 | 56 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 58 | 55 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 49 | 46 | 19 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 43 | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 42 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 42 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 45 | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 39 | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 50 | 43 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 45 | 42 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 44 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 46 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 52 | 47 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 42 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 58 | 54 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 52 | 45 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 56 | 50 | 17 | 24 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 54 | 48 | 18 | 22 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 53 | 45 | 16 | 20 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 47 | 40 | 15 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 44 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 52 | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 4 | NAICS2022 |