BMIE Market 04074

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,881 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,760 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,514 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$135,018 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,956 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$556,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,896 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	47.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04074
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+139.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	60 (range 56–63) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04074. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.2	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.3	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	53.0	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,076	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	135,018	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	9,881	85	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.2	56	35%	+19.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.8	29	25%	+7.2
Population (ACS)	23,076	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	135,018	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	12.2	56	30%	+16.8
20-year restaurant growth	77.4	76	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (118)

By cuisine

American 22 · Coffee 16 · Sandwiches 16 · Pizza 15 · Seafood 14 · Dessert 12 · Asian 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Breakfast 5 · Burgers 5 · Italian 5 · BBQ 4 · Japanese 4 · Chinese 3 · Thai 3 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 76 · Dessert 18 · Casual dining 17 · Bar 16 · Quick service 15 · Coffee shop 12 · Bakery 11 · Café 11 · Specialty food shop 5 · Other 5 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
8 Corners Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	31 Mussey Rd	open
Al's of Scarborough	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	139 Pleasant Hill Rd	open
ALL GRILL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Latin American (other) · Burgers	238 Gorham Rd	open
Amato's Amato's	Other	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	234 US-1	open
Amore on the Marsh / Cobblestone Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	521 U S 1	open
Anjon's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	521 US-1	open
Antigoni’s Pizza Antigoni's Pizza Lewiston	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Breakfast · Italian	172 US-1	open
Bambino's Wood Fired Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	246 US-1	open
Bayley's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	161 Pine Point Rd	open
Bayley's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	165 Pine Point Rd	open
Beach House Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	27 E Grand Ave	open
Beal's Old Fashioned Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	29 Gorham Rd	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	31 Hannaford Dr	open
Bite Into Maine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	185 Us Route 1 Ste 2	open
Blast from the Past Too Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	623 US Route 1	open
Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	465 Payne Rd	open
Bluet	Winery / distillery / taproom		15 Washington Ave Unit 9	open
Cafe Luna	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	370 US-1	open
Casco Bay Creamery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	15 Holly St	open
Chaba Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	700 US-1	open
Chia Sen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	456 Payne Rd	open
Chicago Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	285 US Route 1, Ste 3	open
Clambake Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	354 Pine Point Rd	open
Claw Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	695 US-1	open
Clean Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	300 Gallery Blvd	open
Coastal Consulting Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Oak Hill Ter Ste 6	open
Cobble Stone Grille, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		521 US Route 1	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	398 US Route 1 # TH9365	open
Cowbell Scarborough	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	185 US-1	open
Dimitris Restaurant Pub	Bar	Pizza · Greek	185 US Route 1	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	91 County Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	196 Us Rte 1	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	284 Payne Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	500 Gallery Blvd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	441 Payne Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	613 Us Route 1	open
Dunstan Smokehouse	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches	2 Dunstan Ave	open
Dunstan Tap & Table	Casual dining · Bar		6 Stewart Dr	open
E.A.T. Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	162 Black Point Rd	open
East Grand Lobster Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	35 E Grand Ave	open
El Rayo Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	245 US Route 1	open
El Rayo Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 US Route 1	open
El Rodeo El Rodeo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	623 US-1	open
Emma's Eats	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	63 King St	open
Famous Dave's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1 Cabela Blvd	open
Fwb Llc Dba	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Gorham Rd	open
Giuseppe Roasters Coffee	Coffee shop · Catering · Café	Coffee	26 Ocean Ave	open
Hank's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches · Breakfast	150 Spurwink Rd	open
Happy Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	174 US Route 1	open
Haven's Candies	Quick service		Cabela Blvd	open
Honeycomb Cafe Honeycomb Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	132 Pleasant Hill Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	550 Gallery Blvd Ste C	open
Jojo's Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	183 US-1	open
Ken's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	207 Pine Point Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	400 Gallery Boulevard	open
Kirin Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	426 US-1	open
Lanky's Bagels, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		172 US Route 1	open
Len Libby Candies	Dessert	Dessert	419 US-1	open
Libby’s Lobsters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	147 Old Blue Point Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 Gallery Blvd SUITE B	open
Louie's Lasagna and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	499 Old County Rd.	open
Mainely Wraps	Other	Sandwiches	360 US Route 1	open
Mamie's Farmhouse	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Bakery	97 County Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	221 Us Hwy 1	open
MePowered Pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2 Stewart Dr	open
Mizucuisine Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Expedition Dr Ste G	open
Moe's Original BBQ Moe's Original BBQ-Bangor, ME	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	450 Payne Rd	open
Nonesuch River Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		201 Gorham Rd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	550 Gallery Blvd	open
O'Reilly's Cure	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	264 US Route 1	open
Oishi Japanese Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	285 US-1	open
Pat's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	209 US Route 1	open
Pho Hong Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 Us Route 1 Ste 2	open
Pine Point Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	240 Pine Point Rd	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	491 Payne Rd	open
Pizza Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	185 US Route 1	open
Portland Pie Co Hq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 Lincoln Ave	open
Portland Pie Company - Scarborough Portland Pie Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	400 Expedition Dr	open
Pub 56	Bar			open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	800 Gallery Blvd	open
Rising Tide Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	96 King St	open
Romeos Sports Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	201 US Route 1	open
S & F, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		139 Pleasant Hill Rd	open
Saint's Pit & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		Dunstan Landing Rd	open
Salty Bay Seafood Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	68 Jones Creek Dr	open
Scarborough Grounds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	264 US-1	open
Scarborough Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sandwiches	697 US-1	open
Scarborough, ME Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	465 Payne Rd	open
Sea Dog Scarborough Sea Dog Bangor	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1 Cabela Blvd	open
Sebago Brewing Company Brewpub Sebago Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		201 Southborough Dr	open
Shade	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	34 Ocean Ave	open
Shogun Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	238 Gorham Rd	open
St Joe's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	220 Gorham Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	465 Payne Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	210 Us Route 1	open
Stern Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	96 King St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	456 Payne Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	91 County Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	594 US Route One	open
sweetFrog	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	300 Gallery Blvd, Ste B	open
TASTE ME	Other	Sandwiches · Asian	680 US-1	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	600 Gallery Blvd	open
Thai 9	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	400 Expedition Dr	open
The Bait Shed	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	9 Ave 6	open
The Chart Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		510 Black Point Rd	open
The Dairy Corner	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	612 US-1	open
The Downs Club Restaurant at Scarborough Downs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Us Route 1	open
The Egg & I	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	183 Us Route 1	open
The Garage BBQ	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	3 E Grand Ave	open
The Holy Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	398 US-1	open
The Maine Scoop Company	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	161 Pine Point Rd	open
The Painted Turtle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	59 Country Rd	open
Tim Hortons	Café	Coffee	398 Old Blue Point Rd	open
Turn 5 Tavern	Bar	American	70 Holmes Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	205 Us Route 1	open
Wing Lee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	618 US-1	open
Львівська майстерня шоколаду Львівська майстерня шоколаду	Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee		open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	500 Gallery Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	28	26	6	16	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	24	23	9	10	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	30	27	8	15	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	28	26	9	12	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	33	31	11	14	6	1	NAICS1997
2003	33	31	10	16	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	31	29	11	14	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	35	33	10	18	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	36	33	8	19	6	2	NAICS2002
2007	41	39	13	21	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	43	39	15	18	6	1	NAICS2007
2009	44	41	17	16	8	—	NAICS2007
2010	42	40	16	15	9	—	NAICS2007
2011	46	44	15	21	8	—	NAICS2007
2012	45	44	18	21	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	51	49	19	21	8	—	NAICS2012
2014	51	49	19	19	10	1	NAICS2012
2015	50	48	17	20	11	—	NAICS2012
2016	49	48	16	20	12	—	NAICS2012
2017	54	52	20	23	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	55	20	22	13	—	NAICS2017
2019	58	53	20	21	12	—	NAICS2017
2020	54	52	22	18	12	—	NAICS2017
2021	59	55	21	20	14	—	NAICS2017
2022	61	57	23	21	13	—	NAICS2022
2023	59	55	24	17	14	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04074. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04064	4.6 mi	49	2023
04106	4.9 mi	104	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.