BMIE Market 04090

York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,713 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,589 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,557 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$485,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04090
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	39.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+2.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+46.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 39–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04090. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.7	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.3	40	35%	+14.1
Market Momentum Score	24.2	24	25%	+6.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,713	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	88,024	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	5,067	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.7	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	35	16	25%	+4.0
Population (ACS)	11,713	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	88,024	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.8	21	50%	+10.6
10-year restaurant growth	-4.7	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	2.5	36	20%	+7.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (90)

By cuisine

American 24 · Seafood 16 · Coffee 12 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 9 · Breakfast 7 · Asian 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 13 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 11 · Quick service 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Food truck 6 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1690 House Bakeshop + Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	1690 Post Rd	open
A Cafe & Bakery	Café	Coffee	2178 Post Rd	open
Amatos	Other	Sandwiches	1045 Post Rd	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	44 Sanford Rd	open
Bake Maine Wells	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2178 Post Rd	open
BAKED by cam	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	30 Oak Ln	open
Baker Bru Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	2073 Post Rd	open
Batson River Fish Camp	Casual dining · Bar		73 Mile Rd	open
Beachcomber Beachcomber	Bar		343 Littlefield Rd	open
Become 11	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	8437 S 50th Dr	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	107 Wells Plz	open
Big Daddy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2165 Post Rd	open
Billy's Chowder House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	216 Mile Rd	open
Bitter End	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2118 Post Rd	open
Blended Bliss	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	Atlantic Avenue	open
Borealis Breads Wells	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	1165 Post Rd	open
Bow Street Beverage - Wells	Restaurant (service type not stated)		655 Post Rd	open
Bread & Roses Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	614 Post Rd	open
Brewed Awakenings	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1846 Post Rd	open
Brown's Clam Shanty	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	198 Post Rd	open
Bull N' Claw	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2270 Post Rd	open
CAD Beer Garden	Bar · Bakery	Bakery	1090 Post Rd	open
Cafe at York County Community College	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	112 College Dr	open
Cardinali's Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		134 Harbor Rd	open
Cargo Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1100 Post Rd	open
Chef Jacque’s Crepe and Chowder Wagon	Food truck	Breakfast · French	1324 Post Rd	open
Cherry Blossoms Cakes and Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	166 Sagamore Dr	open
Coastal House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2128 Post Rd	open
Congdons After Dark Food Truck Park Congdon's Doughnuts	Food truck · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	1100 Post Rd	open
Dairy Queen Store Dairy Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	1517 Post Rd	open
Dcs Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		52 Post Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	329 Post Rd	open
East Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	636 Post Rd	open
Egg and I	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Breakfast	Post Rd	open
Feile Restaurant and Pub	Casual dining · Bar		1619 Post Rd	open
Fisherman's Catch Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	134 Harbor Rd	open
Forbes Seafood Restaurant & Take-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	427 Mile Rd	open
Hayloft Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Route 1	open
Hidden Cove Brewing Co.	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		73 Mile Rd	open
Hobbs Harborside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	352 Harbor Rd	open
Home Town Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1517 Post Rd Ste 9	open
Horizons Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	35 Mile Rd	open
Hoss and Mary's	Food truck	Burgers · American		open
Joshua's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1637 Post Rd	open
Kai Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2063 Post Rd	open
Knew Potato Caboose	Food truck	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	1100 Post Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1544 Post Rd	open
Lark Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6 Eldridge Rd	open
Las Olas Taqueria Las Olas Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1517 Post Rd	open
Litchfield's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2135 Post Rd	open
Littlefield Tavern	Bar		1107 Littlefield Rd	open
Lyons Coffee Service Inc	Coffee shop	Coffee	833 Sanford Rd	open
Maine Diner	Casual dining	American · Seafood	2265 Post Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	992 Post Rd	open
Mekhong Thai Wells	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	162 Post Rd	open
Mekhong Thai Wells Mekhong Thai Wells	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	162 Post Rd	open
Merriland Farm Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		557 Coles Hill Rd	open
Merriland Ridge Road Farmstand	Food truck		147 Merriland Ridge Rd	open
Mike's Clam Shack	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	1150 Post Rd	open
Mud Meadow Tiki Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2335 Sanford Rd	open
North Star Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Ogunquit Lobster Pound Restaurant & Lounge	Bar	Seafood · American	67 Buzzell Rd	open
Oragami Sushi Bar & Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		757 Post Rd	open
Perkins Cove Candies	Dessert		966 Post Rd	open
PFRS Inc Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1358 Post Rd	open
Pizza Market Wells	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	72 Wells Plaza	open
Pointer Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		139 Post Rd	open
Quacky's Candy	Dessert		505 Post Rd	open
R&R Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	913 US-1	open
Rfd2,inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1637 Post Rd	open
Rococo Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	45 Wells Plz Ste 13	open
Rollover Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	358 Mile Rd	open
Savior 42	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	261 Old County Rd	open
Scoop Deck	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6 Eldredge Rd	open
Sea Salt Fry Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	231 Post Rd	open
Seacoast Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	901 Post Rd	open
Spinnakers Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	139 Post Rd	open
Stutesys Pub & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	52 Post Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	952 Post Rd Unit 2	open
The Grey Gull	Quick service		475 Webhannet Dr	open
The New England House Seafood & Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	124 Post Rd	open
The Osprey Pub & Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	445 Clubhouse Rd	open
The Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1205 Post Rd	open
Tulsi North	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	231 Post Rd	open
Varano's Ristorante Italiano	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 Mile Rd	open
Wells Beach Lobster Pound	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	321 Webhannet Dr	open
What-A-Wrap	Quick service	American · Sandwiches	1190 Post Rd	open
Wild Bevy Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		596 N Berwick Rd	open
Yodeling Clam Lobster Pound	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	35 Stephen Eaton Ln	open
Mainiax Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		526 Post Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	26	26	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	27	27	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	31	31	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	31	29	18	6	5	—	NAICS1997
1999	32	30	19	6	5	—	NAICS1997
2000	31	28	18	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	32	29	19	6	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	39	38	25	8	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	41	40	26	10	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	41	39	24	11	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	42	40	26	10	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	39	37	22	11	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	44	42	26	12	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	41	40	24	10	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	42	41	24	9	7	—	NAICS2007
2010	38	38	21	11	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	40	40	22	11	7	—	NAICS2007
2012	42	42	22	11	9	—	NAICS2012
2013	43	43	24	10	9	—	NAICS2012
2014	41	40	21	9	10	—	NAICS2012
2015	40	39	21	8	10	—	NAICS2012
2016	38	36	19	7	10	1	NAICS2012
2017	41	40	21	10	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	45	44	24	10	10	—	NAICS2017
2019	43	42	23	9	10	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	42	22	10	10	—	NAICS2017
2021	43	42	23	11	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	44	42	22	11	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	41	21	10	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04090. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.