BMIE Market 04096

Cumberland County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,349 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,819 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,094 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$639,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04096
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 28–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04096. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.2	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.4	56	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	52.3	52	25%	+13.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,053	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	110,216	87	40%	+34.7
Households (ACS)	3,506	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.0	57	35%	+19.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.7	21	25%	+5.4
Population (ACS)	9,053	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	110,216	87	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	13.0	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bakery 9 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bayside Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	720 US-1	open
Binga's Wingas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · American	907 US-1	open
Bistro 233	Restaurant (service type not stated)		233 US Route 1	open
Brickyard Hollow Brewing Company Brickyard Hollow Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	236 Main St	open
Bright Cloud Marketing Inc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		494 Route 1	open
Bruce's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	438 U S Hwy 1	open
Cakes Extraordinaire	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	305 Route One	open
Carpe Diem	Winery / distillery / taproom		18 Yarmouth Crossing Dr	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	242 Main St	open
Chopstick Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		438 Route 1	open
Clayton's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	447 Route 1	open
Cuppa Jo's	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	305 US-1	open
Cuppa Jo's	Coffee shop	Coffee	305 US-1	open
Day's Crabmeat & Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1269 US-1	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	936 Route 1	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	242 Main St	open
Fox & The Fiddle	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	317 Main St	open
Gather	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	189 Main St	open
Grill 233	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	233 Route 1	open
Handy Store L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		367 Main St	open
ice it! Bakery - Yarmouth	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	305 Rte 1	open
Jlk Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		791 Route 1	open
Lara Exclusively Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	438 Route 1	open
Little China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	374 US-1	open
Locally Sauced	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Latin American (other)	30 Forest Falls Dr	open
LOTSO TACOS	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	358 Main St	open
Maggie Mae's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	374 Route 1	open
Magno Terra Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2 DeLorme Dr	open
Maine Roasters Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	82 Portland St	open
Maple's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Route 1	open
Mister Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	431 Route 1	open
More & Co. Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 Lafayette St	open
Otto OTTO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	367 Main St	open
Owl And Elm	Restaurant (service type not stated)		365 Main St	open
Pat's Pizza Gifford's Famous Ice Cream	Dessert · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Italian	791 US-1	open
Peachy's Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	301 Main St	open
Rambler Irish Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · European	365 Main St	open
Riddle lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	216 Ledge Rd	open
Rocky Coast Cheesecake LLC	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	3 Marina Rd	open
Romeos Pizza Romeo's Pizza	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	438 US-1	open
Royal River Grill House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	106 Lafayette St	open
Stone's Cafe & Bakery	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery · American	115 Eben Hill Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	267 US Route 1	open
The Garrison	Restaurant (service type not stated)		81 Bridge St	open
The Honeycone Ice Cream Social	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	881 Us-1	open
Woodhull Public House	Bar		30 Forest Falls Dr	open
Yarmouth Amvets Post #2	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		148 North Rd	open
Yarmouth Rice and Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	438 US-1	open
Granite Hospitality Group Llc Dba Muddy Rudder	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1335 Route 1	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	16	7	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	16	9	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	10	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	24	24	11	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	20	20	9	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	23	13	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	26	13	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	14	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	27	14	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	29	13	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	27	15	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	26	12	9	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04096. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04110	3.5 mi	1	1995

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.