BMIE Market 04530

Sagadahoc County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±331 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,807 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$336,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04530
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04530. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.9	51	35%	+17.8
Market Momentum Score	45.5	45	25%	+11.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,275	73	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	79,649	62	40%	+24.7
Households (ACS)	5,402	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	35%	+18.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.6	24	25%	+6.0
Population (ACS)	11,275	73	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	79,649	62	20%	+12.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	30%	+15.4
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 9 · Asian 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Seafood 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Thai 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 9 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	111 Centre St	open
Anchor Nutrition Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		99 Commercial St Ste 1	open
Aroma Joe's Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	135 Leeman Hwy	open
Bath Anchor	Restaurant (service type not stated)		99 Commercial St	open
Bath Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		141 Front St	open
Bath Sweet Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	19 Centre St	open
Bay Bowls Bath	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	45 Vine St	open
Best Thai II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	23 Elm St	open
BoatBuilders Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	122 Front St	open
Bouchard's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		Bath St	open
Burano's Wood-Fired Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	128 Front St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	75 Leeman Highway	open
Byrnes Irish Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	38 Centre St	open
Cafe Creme	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	56 Front St	open
Centre Street Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	29 Centre St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	4 Oak Grove Ave	open
Down To Fry, LLC	Food truck		144 State Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	150 Leeman Hwy	open
Fiona's Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	528 Washington St	open
Front Street Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		141 Front St	open
Galley Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	245 Centre St	open
Gilmore's Seafoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	129 Court St	open
Jade Lotus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	132 Leeman Hwy	open
Jmd Donuts Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 Leeman Hwy	open
Kennebec Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	119 Commercial St	open
Linden + Front	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	244 Front St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Chandler Dr	open
Mae's Cafe & Bakery	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	160 Centre St	open
Mario's Pizza of Bath	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	54 Centre St	open
Maryellenz Caffe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		99 Commercial St	open
Mateo's Hacienda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	56 Centre St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2 Chandler Dr	open
Mid Coast Pizza & More Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	737 Washington St	open
My Thai Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	241 Congress Ave	open
One Stop Food & Deli One Stop Farm	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	624 Washington St	open
Oriental Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	1 Chandler Dr	open
Oriental Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	150 Leeman Hwy	open
OystHERS Raw Bar & Bubbly	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	97 Commercial St	open
P & C Thai Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Elm St	open
Plant's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	24 State Rd	open
Red Envelope	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Thai · Asian	54 Centre St	open
Relish	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	244 Front St	open
Robinhood Meetinghouse Biscuits & Pastries	Bar		25 Wing Farm Pkwy	open
Run with Soup	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	770 Washington St	open
Run With Soup	Café	Coffee	1356 Washington St	open
Salt Pine Social	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	244 Front St	open
Schutty's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	410 State Rd	open
Sisters Gourmet Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	111 Centre St	open
Solo Bistro	Casual dining		128 Front St	open
Solo Pane e Pasticceria	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Italian · Coffee	29 Centre St	open
Southgate Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	25 Centre St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	193 Water St	open
The Beale Street Grill Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 Water St	open
The Cabin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	552 Washington St	open
The Fountain Ice Cream & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	110 Front St	open
TheKingofWings Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	Kings Arms Rd	open
Three Suns Slush	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		Waterfront Park, 61 Commercial St	open
Tilted Bar	Bar		144 State Rd	open
Tracy Jean's Coffee Boutique	Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery		open
Trinken Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		144 State Rd	open
White Linen	Café	Coffee	1356 Washington St	open
Winnegance Restaurant & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Breakfast	36 High St	open
Witch Spring Hill Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	60 State Rd	open
Yum Mee Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	67 Centre St	open
Zellie’s Ice Cream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	97 Commercial St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1 Chandler Dr	open
Front Street Public House	Bar		Front Street	closed
Jimbos Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 Congress Ave Ste 3	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	23	21	10	8	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	23	21	11	8	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	21	10	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	9	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	21	20	11	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	26	25	13	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	28	28	14	11	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	30	29	15	11	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	30	29	15	10	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	27	14	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	30	16	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	29	14	12	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	32	31	17	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	14	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	33	30	15	11	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	32	28	14	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2014	32	28	14	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	32	28	14	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	34	31	16	11	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	35	32	15	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	15	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	32	16	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	32	16	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	32	18	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	36	33	19	11	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	30	17	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04530. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.