BMIE Market 04937

Somerset County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,645 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,968 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,933 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$163,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,793 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	51.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04937
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04937. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.7	54	40%	+21.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.6	41	35%	+14.2
Market Momentum Score	31.9	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,358	64	40%	+25.7
Median household income (ACS)	63,933	37	40%	+14.8
Households (ACS)	2,812	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.2	56	25%	+14.0
Population (ACS)	6,358	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	63,933	37	20%	+7.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 7 · Chinese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Belanger's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	84 Upper Main St	open
Cheung Lee Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	122 Main St	open
Dancing Elephant II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	166 Main St	open
Dancing Elephant Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	166 Main St	open
Eat Neon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5 Brooks St	open
Fairfield House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	207 Upper Main St	open
Fairfield Restaurant Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		146 Main St	open
Flatlanda Diner	Casual dining	American	224 Skowhegan Rd	open
Hillman's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16 Western Ave	open
Mei Dream	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	46 Main St	open
Meridians: The Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		166 Main St	open
Paul & Tiffany's Touch of Love Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	230 Main St	open
Pung Hill BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	114 Norridgewock Rd	open
Purple Cow House of Pancakes	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6 Skowhegan Rd	open
Sonny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	146 Upper Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	204 Center Rd	open
The Lost Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Chinese	95 Ten Lots Rd	open
The River Jack Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	230 Upper Main St	open
Uproar Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	93 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	4	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 04937. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
04944	2.6 mi	1	1997
04975	4.0 mi	1	2003

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.