BMIE Market 05091

Windsor County, Vermont · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,443 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,288 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,033 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,396 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,890 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,426 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$572,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71,251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 05091
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 05091. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Vermont and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 169, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.2	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.9	44	35%	+15.4
Market Momentum Score	58.1	58	25%	+14.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,443	54	40%	+21.8
Median household income (ACS)	112,396	88	40%	+35.0
Households (ACS)	1,573	57	20%	+11.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	40.7	13	25%	+3.3
Population (ACS)	3,443	54	20%	+10.9
Median household income (ACS)	112,396	88	20%	+17.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abracadabra Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	54 Pleasant St	open
Abracadabra Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	35 Wayside Rd	open
Amato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	66 Pleasant St	open
Angkor Wat Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	61 Pleasant St	open
Au Comptoir	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4 Mechanic St	open
Bentleys Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1 Elm St	open
Bridges Road Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		2410 Bridges Rd	open
Domaine La Garagista	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar	Italian		open
Dreamscape Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	67 Central St	open
la Collina	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Mangalitsa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 Central St	open
Mon Vert Mini	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast	55 Central St	open
Mountain Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	33 Central St	open
Mountain Creamery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	4374 W Woodstock Rd	open
Ottauquechee Yacht Club	Casual dining · Bar		21710 Maxham Meadow Way	open
Pi Brick Oven Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	49 Central St	open
Positive Pie Positive Pie Montpelier	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	3 Elm St	open
Ranch Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	431 Woodstock Rd	open
Red Rooster Red Rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	14 The Grn	open
Ruth's Table	Casual dining		61 Central St	open
Santé	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	61 Central St	open
Scoop Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	20 Central Street, Woodstock, VT 05091, United States	open
Splendid Bakes by Banks	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4 The Grn	open
Sweet & Salty	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4 Mechanic St	open
The Daily Catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	61 Central St	open
The Prince and The Pauper Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · French	24 Elm St	open
The Vic Tavern at the Village Inn	Casual dining · Bar		41 Pleasant St	open
The White Cottage Snack Bar	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	863 W Woodstock Rd	open
Vermont Overland Guide Services, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 High St	open
Woodbridge Cafe and Coffeehouse	Café	Coffee	531 Woodstock Rd	open
Woodstock Pizza Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	450 E Woodstock Rd	open
Worthy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	442 Woodstock Rd	open
Lincoln Inn & Restaurant At The Covered Bridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2709 W Woodstock Rd	closed
Melaza Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · American	71 Central St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 05091. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
05067	2.6 mi	—
05073	4.7 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.