BMIE Market 05356

Windham County, Vermont · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	392 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,753 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$528 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$328,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 05356
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	181.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	24 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 05356. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Vermont and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 169, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	23.8	24	40%	+9.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	28.2	28	35%	+9.9
Market Momentum Score	64.9	65	25%	+16.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	738	27	40%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	51,222	16	40%	+6.5
Households (ACS)	392	32	20%	+6.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	35%	+18.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	149.1	3	25%	+0.7
Population (ACS)	738	27	20%	+5.4
Median household income (ACS)	51,222	16	20%	+3.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	57.1	92	50%	+46.1
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	30%	+16.2
20-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 15 · Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 14 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1846 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	108 Rte 100	open
1900' Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	39 Mount Snow Rd	open
1MTN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1 Mountain Park Plz	open
American Flatbread - West Dover, VT American Flatbread - Canton, CT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	183 Vermont Rte 100	open
Black Diamond Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	266 Vermont Rte 100	open
Black Ember Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	171 Vermont Rte 100	open
Coffee Barn Café	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	319 Vermont Rte 100	open
Deerfield Bar and Bottle Shop	Bar		148 Route 100	open
Dot's of Dover	Casual dining	American	2 Mtn Park Plz	open
Dover Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		319 Vermont Rte 100	open
Dover Forge Restaurant and One More Time Billiards Parlor & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	183 Route 100	open
Fairway's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Country Club Road	open
First wok Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	Rt 100	open
Grand Country Deli	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	89 Grand Summit Way	open
Harriman's Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	American	89 Grand Summit Way	open
High Timber Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		1 Carinthia Rd	open
Iron Loft	Bar		39 Mount Snow Rd	open
NOSH	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	267 Route 100	open
Pizzeria La Toscanella	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	148 Vt Route 100	open
Sawmill Bar & Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · Burgers · American	7 Crosstown Rd	open
Shital's Indian Vegetarian Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Vegetarian	6 Abroad Rd	open
Snow Republic Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		33 Vermont Rte 100	open
Station Tap Room	Bar		39 Mount Snow Road	open
Sticky Fingers Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	210 Vermont Rte 100	open
Tadi’s Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		148 Route 100	open
TC's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	178 Vermont Rte 100	open
The Bullwheel	Bar · Casual dining		254 Summit Work Rd	open
The Bullwheel Tavern	Bar		39 Mount Snow Rd	open
The Last Chair	Casual dining · Bar		267 Route 100	open
Tony's At Mount Snow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Tony's Pizza	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	194 Route 100	open
Trail 87	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	271 Vermont Rte 100	open
Two Tannery Road	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Tannery Rd	open
Valley View Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	131 Route 100	open
Waffle Cabin \| Breakfast • Lunch	Café · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	29 Mount Snow Road	open
West Dover Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	272-274 Vermont 100	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	10	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	16	12	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	10	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	10	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	15	12	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	12	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	11	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	10	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	11	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	8	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	10	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 05356. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
05341	3.2 mi	1	1999
05355	4.0 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.