BMIE Market 05363

Windham County, Vermont · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,607 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$284,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 05363
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	59.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 05363. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Vermont and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 169, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.7	46	40%	+18.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.9	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	59.9	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,886	44	40%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	68,843	45	40%	+18.1
Households (ACS)	1,063	51	20%	+10.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	79.5	6	25%	+1.4
Population (ACS)	1,886	44	20%	+8.7
Median household income (ACS)	68,843	45	20%	+9.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.1	64	50%	+32.0
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-11.8	16	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 7 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19 South Main Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	19 S Main St	open
1a Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	123 W Main St	open
Alpenglow Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	9 W Main St	open
Anchor Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	8 S Main St	open
Beer Naked Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7678 VT-9	open
BIG DADDY'S POPOVERS	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	442 Ray Hill Rd	open
Butter Mountain Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1 School St	open
Cask and Kiln Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4 N Main St	open
Clara's Cucina at The White House Inn VT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	178 W Main St	open
Clara's Cucina Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	178 VT-9	open
Coffee House Coffee House Company	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	247 VT-9	open
Creemee Stand	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	716 Vermont Rte 100	open
Cup N Saucer Restaurant	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	157 Vermont Rte 100	open
Dot's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	43 E Main St	open
Folly	Coffee shop	Coffee	33 W Main St	open
Jezebel's Eatery & Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9 W Main St	open
Joe's Home Cookin	Food truck	Seafood · American	716 VT-100	open
L & S Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		179 Vt Route 100 N	open
La Casita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14 S Main St	open
Maple Leaf Malt & Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom		3 N Main St	open
Mill & Whistle Café	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	24 W Main St	open
Nomad Mobile Kitchen (NMK)	Food truck		7755 Route 9 E	open
North Star Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	179 Vermont Rte 100	open
Old Red Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18 N Main St	open
Robert's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4 Old Ark Rd	open
Starfire Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	103 W Main St	open
The Maple Leaf Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	3 N Main St	open
The Matterhorn Dog House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	7 N Main St	open
The Stack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	70 Spyglass Ln	open
The Village Roost	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	20 W Main St	open
The WoodShed	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	716 Vermont Rte 100	open
Tonys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	194 VT Route 100 N Apt D	open
Valley Chocolates and more	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	554 VT Route 100 N	open
Valley Craft Ales	Brewery / taproom · Bar		18 N Main St	open
Vermont Distillers	Winery / distillery / taproom		7755 VT-9	open
Wahoo's Eatery Wahoo's Fish Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2 Whites Rd	open
Wilmington House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	129 Route 9	open
Wilmington Village Pub	Bar · Casual dining		7 S Main St	open
Кафеана Лајл Хил	Bar		6 Lisle Hill Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	10	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	9	2	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	9	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	17	12	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	20	15	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	22	16	11	3	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	12	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	13	10	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	12	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	12	8	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	7	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	9	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	16	13	9	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	17	14	8	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	8	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	7	3	3	4	NAICS2017
2021	18	14	9	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	9	3	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 05363. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.