BMIE Market 06013

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,305 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,326 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,401 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$165,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±671 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$418,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,779 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06013
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06013. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.8	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.9	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	72.5	73	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,680	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	165,120	97	40%	+39.0
Households (ACS)	3,305	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	9,680	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	165,120	97	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Thai 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Food truck 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Burlington Mens Club Inc	Bar			open
Cakes Unlimited	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	52 Saw Mill Rd	open
Camp Shady Boys & Girls Club of New Britain	Bar		140 Covey Rd	open
Charming-Thai Restaurant Burlington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	232 Spielman Hwy	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	262 Spielman Hwy	open
Dhm Holdings Ii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		292 Spielman Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	295 Spielman Hwy	open
Enclave Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	292 Spielman Hwy	open
Evening Sky Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		280 Spielman Hwy	open
Farmstead Ice Cream at Tonn's Marketplace	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	418 Milford St	open
Frozen Properties	Restaurant (service type not stated)		511 Spielman Hwy	open
Greenhouse Café & Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	511 Spielman Hwy	open
Hogan's Cider Mill	Brewery / taproom · Bar		522 Spielman Hwy	open
I Know A Guy Foods Deli and Food Truck	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Food truck	Sandwiches	280 Spielman Hwy	open
Kitchen 232 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		232 Spielman Hwy	open
Kyle's Doghouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	Spielman Hwy @ Lyon Rd	open
Lemongrass Asian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho	232 Spielman Highway, Connecticut 4	open
Max Pizza 3 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	225 Stafford Rd	open
Nibbles and Noms	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	175 Canton Rd	open
Olivia's Trattoria & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	258 Spielman Hwy	open
River Glenn Park	Food truck		175 Canton Rd	open
Sherman's Taphouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	292 Spielman Hwy	open
Sorrento's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	292 Spielman Hwy	open
Sourdough Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	6 Wildes Way	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	292 Spielman Hwy	open
The B. Hive	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	221 Spielman Hwy	open
Val's Vittles	Food truck	American	Congregational Church parking lot	open
Cassille's Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	232 Spielman Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	4	—	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	4	—	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	5	—	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	1	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	3	2	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06013. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06085	3.1 mi	12	2023
06010	4.7 mi	91	2023
06032	4.9 mi	56	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.