BMIE Market 06019

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,742 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±305 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,129 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,272 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$117,418 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,403 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$390,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06019
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	32.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+107.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 17–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06019. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.3	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.5	43	35%	+15.2
Market Momentum Score	21.5	21	25%	+5.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,742	70	40%	+28.2
Median household income (ACS)	117,418	89	40%	+35.8
Households (ACS)	4,242	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.7	23	25%	+5.7
Population (ACS)	9,742	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	117,418	89	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	50%	+7.0
10-year restaurant growth	-12.9	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	22.7	47	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 5 · Burgers 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Seafood 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Dessert 9 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Café 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ABC Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 River St	open
American Flatbread American Flatbread - Canton, CT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	110 Albany Tpke	open
At The Rooftop	Bar	American · Sushi · Japanese	220 Albany Turnpike	open
Bamboo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	40-50 Albany Turnpike	open
Beau's Burger Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Seafood · American	228 Albany Turnpike	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	110 Albany Turnpike	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	75 Ellsworth Ln	open
Ben and Jerry's Ice Cream Catering Ben & Jerry's	Dessert · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	200 Smith Wy	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	110 Albany Tpke	open
Buon Appetito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	50 Albany Tpke	open
Canton Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	465 Albany Turnpike	open
Canton Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American		open
Cherry Brook Pizza & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	180 Cherry Brook Rd	open
ChinaTown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	250 Albany Tpke	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	110 Albany Tpke	open
Chompers	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		15 Pine Acres Dr	open
Dish n' Dat	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	110 Albany Tpke	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	140 Albany Tpke	open
Emerald City Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	110 Albany Tpke Ste 903	open
Feng Asian Bistro & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	110 Albany Tpke	open
Francesca's Wine Bar & Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Main St	open
Froyoworld, The Shoppes at Farmington Valley	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	110 Albany Tpke	open
Fta Canton Restaurant Venture Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		144 Albany Tpke	open
Full Moonshine	Winery / distillery / taproom		183 Bahre Corner Rd	open
Giv Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	194 Albany Turnpike	open
Greatest Northwestern Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		250 Albany Tpke	open
Grindstone Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		3 River St	open
Insight Garage Door Services	Bar		Serving Around	open
Joe Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	140 Albany Tpke	open
Kenmont Bread and Blooms LLC	Bakery	Bakery	67 Gildersleeve Ave	open
Kfc Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	250 Albany Tpke	open
Lasalle Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	104 Main St	open
Lisa's Crown & Hammer Restaurant & Pub	Bar · Casual dining		3 Depot St	open
Little Oak Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Pizza	220 Albany Turnpike Bldg 10	open
Make It Gf	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	50 Albany Tpke Bldg 1	open
Mansfield Sugar House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	American	Huckleberry Hill Rd	open
Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	144 Albany Tpke	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	220 Albany Tpke	open
Mercato Italian Kitchen and Bar Mercato Italian Kitchen & Bar- Shelton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	110 Albany Turnpike #500	open
Mikado Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	220 Albany Tpke	open
Mobile Paddle Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Albany Tpke	open
Nodine's Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	192 Albany Tpke	open
NoRA Cupcake Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	110 Albany Tpke Ste 903	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Café · Bakery	Sandwiches · Coffee · Bakery	110 Albany Turnpike	open
Saybrook Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	460 Albany Turnpike	open
Silver Eagle Games	Café	Coffee	250 Albany Tpke	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	250 Albany Tpke	open
The Bagel Deli	Bakery	Bakery	220 Albany Tpke	open
The Blue House Bagel Co. & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	161 Albany Turnpike	open
The Frog and The Peach	Restaurant (service type not stated)		160 Albany Tpke	open
The Frosted Sheep Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	220 Albany Turnpike Building 5, Rear	open
The Green Door Restaurant & Speakeasy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Bridge St	open
The Green Papaya Thai Restaurant Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	160 Albany Turnpike	open
The Village Cafe & Bistro	Café	Coffee	220 Albany Tpke	open
Toasted OAT Canton	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	50 Albany Turnpike	open
Valley Smoke Shop	Bar		250 Albany Tpke	open
Wilson's Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3 River St	open
World's Best Sundae Inc.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6 Dunham Rd	open
Year Roundz Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		220 Albany Tpke	open
Zenzibar	Bar	Healthy / salads / bowls	220 Albany Tpke	open
110 Grill Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	110 Albany Tpke Ste 700	closed
Cake Gypsy	Bakery	Bakery	250 Albany Tpke	closed
Hub Bar & Grille Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		192 Albany Tpke	closed
Smokin Spokes Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		192 Albany Tpke	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	23	21	15	3	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	11	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	22	19	13	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	18	13	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	23	22	16	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	22	22	15	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	24	23	15	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	30	28	15	7	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	35	33	19	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	37	35	19	8	7	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	27	14	7	6	—	NAICS2007
2009	33	31	17	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	37	33	18	8	7	1	NAICS2007
2011	35	32	17	9	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	31	29	16	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	33	31	17	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	34	30	16	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	39	35	18	9	8	—	NAICS2012
2016	34	29	15	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	31	16	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	36	33	17	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	30	14	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	13	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	26	13	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	25	12	7	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06019. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06020	0.5 mi	—
06022	1.4 mi	1	2003
06059	2.4 mi	—
06092	2.4 mi	3	2021
06061	3.5 mi	2	2016
06089	4.3 mi	3	2023
06070	4.7 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.