BMIE Market 06057

Litchfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±299 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,513 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,707 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,784 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$117,906 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,940 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$380,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,944 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06057
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.4	74	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.6	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	34.3	34	25%	+8.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,363	64	40%	+25.7
Median household income (ACS)	117,906	90	40%	+35.8
Households (ACS)	2,513	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	6,363	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	117,906	90	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 6 · Italian 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bakerville Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1165 Litchfield Tpke	open
Bamboo Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	141 Main St	open
BLT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Bridge St	open
Blue Sky Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	431 Main St	open
Brewery Legitimus	Brewery / taproom · Bar		283 Main St	open
COFFEE•ol•o•gy Street Café	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	330 Gillette Rd	open
Connecticut Valley Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1480 Litchfield Turnpike	open
Cruisin' Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	283 Main St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	507 Main St	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	220 Main St	open
Farm River Cafe	Café	Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	526 Main St #28	open
Germain's On Main	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	280 Main St	open
Good Friends Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Italian	107 Main St	open
Grey Area Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 Main St	open
Jerram Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		535 Town Hill Rd	open
Light New Hartford	Bar		530 Main St	open
Master Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	141 Main St	open
Michel Angelo's Pizzeria Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	256 Main St	open
Micksservicegroup Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1165 Litchfield Tpke Unit B	open
Mulligans Grille & Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	37 Greenwoods Rd	open
New Hartford Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	141 Main St	open
Parrott Delaney Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37 Greenwoods Rd	open
Pizza Pete's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	519 Main St	open
Quercibella Wood-Grilled Food + Flatbreads	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	280 Main St	open
Radwicks Coffee and Sandwich	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	1165 Litchfield Turnpike	open
Six Spoon Chocolatier	Dessert		141 Main St	open
SmokeKing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	280 Main St	open
Village Market & Cafe -New Hartford CT	Coffee shop · Dessert	Coffee · Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1120 Litchfield Tpke	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06057. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06061	2.9 mi	2	2016
06022	4.0 mi	1	2003
06020	4.8 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.