BMIE Market 06071

Tolland County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,645 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,496 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,898 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$396,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,857 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06071
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06071. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.4	79	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.7	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	61.4	61	25%	+15.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,723	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	126,500	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	3,498	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.5	83	25%	+20.6
Population (ACS)	10,723	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	126,500	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Dessert 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baker Mountain	Bakery	Bakery		open
Bond 124	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	124 Main St	open
Cedar Knob Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	446 Billings Rd	open
China City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	166 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	12 South Rd	open
Fortune Fuel - Driven by Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	11 South Rd	open
Frankie's Firehouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	112 Main Street	open
Hometown Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	48 S Rd	open
Iron Fox Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	585 Main St	open
Italian Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	15 S Rd	open
Joanna's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	452 South Rd	open
Joanna's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		145 Main St	open
Knights of Columbus	Bar		236 Main St	open
Mario's Pizzeria and Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	48 S Rd	open
Roasted Beanery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	95 S Rd #7	open
Somers Pizza and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	106 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12 South Rd	open
The Happy Cupcake Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	31 Highland View Dr	open
The Old Mill English Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · British / Irish pub food	63 Maple St	open
The Scrotum Scratch	Bar		54 Bobolink Ln	open
The Total Equestrian	Bakery	Bakery	27 Quality Ave	open
Whoop Dee Do Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	7 Hall Hill Rd	open
Worthington Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		359 Mountain Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	7	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	8	6	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06071. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06072	1.8 mi	3	2019

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.