BMIE Market 06078

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,562 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,413 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,089 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,054 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,941 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$412,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06078
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+87.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06078. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.6	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	68.2	68	25%	+17.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,562	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	116,054	89	40%	+35.6
Households (ACS)	3,999	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.2	56	25%	+13.9
Population (ACS)	10,562	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	116,054	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	7.1	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Italian 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Thai 2 · American 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 7 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Best Choice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 U Car St	open
Bielonko Farms	Food truck		1045 East St N	open
Broad Brook Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		915 South St	open
Broad Brook Brewing LLC	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		915 South St	open
Cafe Barista	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Vegetarian	66 N Main St	open
Cheng's Gourmet Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	130 Mountain Rd	open
Coco Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	801 Thompsonville Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	801 Thompsonville Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	144 Mountain Rd	open
Francesco's Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	43 Mountain Rd	open
Komachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	68 Bridge St	open
Lucky's Pub Lucky's Cafe	Bar		7 U Car St	open
MaJilly's	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		Prospect Street	open
Scoop Du Jour	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	122 Mountain Rd	open
Shamrock Cafe	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1117 East Street S	open
Skinny Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	68 Bridge St Unit 309	open
Stony Brooke Tavern	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		341 N Main St, Unit	open
Stroopsct	Bakery	Bakery	1304 East St N	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	148 Mountain Rd	open
Suffield Pizza and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	78 Bridge St	open
Swing Oil Beer Company	Bar		Broad Brook Brewing, 915 South St	open
Three Figs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	94 Mountain Rd	open
Tosca Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	68 Bridge St	open
Zanto Suffield	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	140 Mountain Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	10	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	10	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	8	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	8	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	8	3	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	8	2	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	7	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	9	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	16	12	8	2	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	7	2	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	16	12	7	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	16	12	7	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	17	13	7	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	17	12	7	—	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06078. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06080	3.0 mi	9	2002
06093	3.7 mi	1	2008
06096	4.4 mi	38	2023
06082	5.0 mi	76	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.