BMIE Market 06234

Windham County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,244 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,247 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,207 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±98 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$315,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06234
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+220.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+220.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06234. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.1	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.4	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	76.8	77	25%	+19.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,517	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	96,207	78	40%	+31.3
Households (ACS)	3,042	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	35%	+17.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.8	40	25%	+10.1
Population (ACS)	8,517	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	96,207	78	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	30%	+15.3
20-year restaurant growth	220	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Bar 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Black Pond Brews	Brewery / taproom		389 Pomfret Rd	open
Brooklyn Country View Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	170 South St	open
Brooklyn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	109 Hartford Rd	open
Carniceria Las Delicias # 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1100 W Business 380, Ste D	open
Chef’s Table At Little Dipper Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)		499 Wolf Den Rd	open
Classic Pizza and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	597 Providence Rd	open
Cozy Corner Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	679 Wauregan Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	445 Providence Rd	open
Grill 445 Brooklyn CT	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	445 Providence Rd	open
Hank's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	416 Providence Rd	open
Johnny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Day St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	554 Providence Rd Rte 6	open
New Ocean Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	520 Providence Rd #3413	open
No 1 Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	593 Providence Rd	open
Riley's Sweet Shoppe	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	81 Preston Rd	open
Sadie's Sweet Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	162 S Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	450 Providence Rd	open
Sweet Cheeks Frozen Yogurt Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	593 Providence Rd	open
The Baker's Dozen Coffee Shop Bakers Dozen	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	520 Providence Rd	open
The Baker's Dozen Of Gales Ferry, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 Providence Rd	open
The Baker's Dozen Of Plainfield Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 Providence Rd	open
The Golden Lamb Buttery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	499 Wolf Den Rd	open
The Ice Box	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	17 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06234. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06263	3.9 mi	—
06387	4.1 mi	2	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.