BMIE Market 06239

Windham County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,183 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,817 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,126 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$277,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06239
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-35.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06239. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.2	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.2	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	50.2	50	25%	+12.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,185	72	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	74,267	54	40%	+21.6
Households (ACS)	4,591	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+18.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	11,185	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	74,267	54	20%	+10.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	-35	8	20%	+1.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bakery 6 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amys Cakery	Bakery	Bakery	21A Furnace St	open
Balanced Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	113 School St	open
Blend It For You Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	535 Main St	open
Conde Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		163 Lafantasie Rd	open
Deb's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	150 Main St	open
Dice and Decaf	Café	Coffee	144 Main St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	483 Providence Pike	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	610 Wauregan Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	86 Westcott Rd	open
Frozen Cheeks Frosty Treats	Dessert · Food truck · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	151 Main St	open
George's Galley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	55 Main St	open
Giant Pizza Danielson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	43 Westcott Rd	open
Gut Bustas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	915 N Main St	open
Heirloom Food Company	Café	Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	630 N Main St	open
Jade Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	749 N Main St	open
Little River Bread Co	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	138 Main St	open
Lou's Cigar	Bar		21 Furnace St	open
Mahon's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		86 Jacques Rd	open
Maury's Pub	Bar		75 Main St	open
Moon Magick Cafe By Chey Llc	Café	Coffee	113 School St	open
NewYork Pizza Co.	Bar	Pizza · Italian	8 Furnace St	open
NK Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	18 Furnace St	open
Pizza Pizzazz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	136 Main St #102	open
Rain Desert	Restaurant (service type not stated)		49 Cottage St	open
Romano's Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	597 Putnam Rd	open
Shake Pro	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	523 Davis Rd	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	576 Providence Rd	open
Sugarz Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	535 Main St Unit 5	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	578 Providence Pike	open
Thai basil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	187 North St	open
The Boroughs Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		21A Furnace St	open
The Deli and Market on Maple Street Market Street	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	371 Maple St	open
Two Dogs Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	157 Main St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	70 Wauregan Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	20	9	6	5	1	NAICS1997
2000	27	23	12	5	6	1	NAICS1997
2001	25	21	8	8	5	2	NAICS1997
2002	24	19	8	8	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	25	20	9	8	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	30	26	10	8	8	2	NAICS2002
2005	26	22	11	6	5	2	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	7	6	6	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	13	8	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	16	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	5	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06239. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06263	3.9 mi	—
06241	4.2 mi	16	2023
06243	4.3 mi	—
06387	4.5 mi	2	2006
06377	4.7 mi	3	2020

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.