BMIE Market 06256

Windham County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	810 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,154 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,023 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$187,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06256
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	41.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06256. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.8	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	35.1	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,704	42	40%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	80,333	63	40%	+25.0
Households (ACS)	810	46	20%	+9.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	64.6	7	25%	+1.8
Population (ACS)	1,704	42	20%	+8.4
Median household income (ACS)	80,333	63	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
50's Diner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		361 Boston Post Rd Ste 13	open
Aero Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	361 Boston Post Rd	open
Bagel One Manhattan Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	351 Boston Post Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	474 Boston Post Rd In Walmart	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	307 Boston Post Rd	open
Fairways Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	184 Club Rd	open
Golf Club of Windham	Bar		Windham Chiropractic Center, 375 Tuckie Rd	open
Great Wall Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	351 Boston Post Rd	open
Illianos of North Windham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	361 Boston Post Rd	open
LC Sweets & Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Carriage Ln North	open
Nutritionfixon6	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	351 Boston Post Rd	open
Oliver's Dairy Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	490 Boston Post Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6 N Ridge Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	6 N Ridge Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	361 Boston Post Rd Unit 5R	open
Swift Water Gutter and Roofing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	449 Boston Post Rd Unit 4	open
The Sports Bar	Bar		157 Boston Post Rd #2	open
Twins Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	319 Boston Post Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	474 Boston Post Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5 N Ridge Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	5	2	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	5	2	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	4	4	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	2	3	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	2	3	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06256. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06226	3.1 mi	48	2023
06280	3.2 mi	1	1996
06250	3.5 mi	8	2023
06264	3.6 mi	1	1996
06266	4.1 mi	2	2016
06235	4.3 mi	1	2016
06247	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.